Most significant political event

Dec 17, 2012

Q. What do you think was the most significant political event of 2012?

 

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Implementation of the carbon tax

41%

40%

44%

52%

Rudd leadership challenge

14%

16%

14%

12%

Reopening asylum seeker detention centres on Manus Island and Nauru

9%

7%

11%

8%

AWU slush fund allegations against the Prime Minister

7%

1%

14%

-

Julia Gillard’s sexism speech in Parliament

6%

11%

2%

3%

Bipartisan support for National Disability Insurance Scheme

5%

9%

3%

4%

Australia winning a seat on the UN Security Council

5%

8%

3%

4%

Don’t know

13%

8%

8%

16%

41% think the most significant political event of the year was the implementation of the carbon tax and 14% think it was the Rudd leadership challenge.

All voter groups thought the implementation of the carbon tax was the most significant event.

Liberal/National voters were more likely to think the AWU slush fund allegations against the Prime Minister was most significant (14%) while Labor voters were more likely to think Julia Gillard’s sexism speech in Parliament was most significant (11%).

Kevin Rudd’s Future

Mar 5, 2012

Q. What do you think Kevin Rudd should do now?

 

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Stay in Parliament and challenge again

29%

30%

28%

29%

Stay in Parliament and not challenge again

28%

44%

17%

46%

Resign from Parliament

30%

17%

44%

20%

Don’t know

13%

8%

10%

5%

Respondents were divided about what Kevin Rudd should do – 30% say he should resign from parliament, 29% think he should stay and challenge again and 28% think he should stay and not challenge again.

Among Labor voters, 44% think he should stay and not challenge, while 44% of Liberal/National voters think he should resign from Parliament. 46% of Greens voters think he should stay in Parliament and not challenge again.

Comments »

Approval of Julia Gillard

Jul 11, 2011

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister?

Kevin Rudd Julia Gillard
31 May

2010

19 Jul 20 Sep 20 Dec 17 Jan 2011 14 Feb 14 Mar 11 Apr 9 May 14 June 11 July
Total approve 41% 52% 45% 43% 51% 48% 41% 37% 41% 34% 29%
Total disapprove 47% 30% 37% 40% 36% 41% 46% 50% 48% 54% 62%
Strongly approve 7% 11% 12% 10% 8% 9% 7% 7% 7% 6% 5%
Approve 34% 41% 33% 33% 43% 39% 34% 30% 34% 28% 24%
Disapprove 25% 17% 21% 24% 24% 25% 22% 25% 26% 29% 30%
Strongly disapprove 22% 13% 16% 16% 12% 16% 24% 25% 22% 25% 32%
Don’t know 12% 18% 19% 17% 14% 11% 13% 13% 11% 13% 9%

29% (down 5%) approve of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister and 62% (up 8%) disapprove – a change in net rating from -20 to -33 over the last 4 weeks.

72% of Labor voters approve (down 4%) and 20% disapprove (up 6%).

By gender – men 31% approve/63% disapprove, women 28% approve/61% disapprove.

Comments »

The Past Year – Politicians

Dec 13, 2010

 Q. Has it been a good or bad year for each of the following politicians?

  Total good Total bad Very good Good Neither good nor bad Bad Very bad Don’t know
Julia Gillard 49% 25% 14% 35% 22% 17% 8% 4%
Bob Brown 38% 21% 9% 29% 28% 11% 10% 13%
Tony Abbott 30% 33% 4% 26% 32% 25% 8% 6%
Malcolm Turnbull 10% 43% 1% 9% 35% 30% 13% 11%
Kevin Rudd 10% 70% 2% 8% 15% 36% 34% 5%

 

  Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
  Total good Total bad Total good Total bad Total good Total bad Total good Total bad
Julia Gillard 49% 25% 69% 8% 36% 43% 57% 17%
Bob Brown 38% 21% 40% 17% 35% 31% 68% 6%
Tony Abbott 30% 33% 19% 45% 44% 21% 17% 54%
Malcolm Turnbull 10% 43% 6% 50% 15% 42% 6% 50%
Kevin Rudd 10% 70% 14% 64% 8% 81% 11% 73%

Overall, Julia Gillard (49% good/25% bad) and Bob Brown (38%/21%) are thought to have had a good year. Respondents were divided on whether Tony Abbott has had a good year (30%/33%).

A majority of their own voters thought Julia Gillard (69%) and Bob Brown (68%) have had a good year but only 44% of Liberal/National voters think Tony Abbott has had a good year. There is a substantial gender difference on the assessment of Tony Abbott – men split 37% good/30% bad and women 23% good/36% bad. Comments »

Federal politics – voting intention

Jun 28, 2010

Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?

Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?

1,803sample size

First preference/leaning to 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

Liberal 34% 39% 38% 37% 36%
National 3% 2% 3% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 37% 41% 41% 40% 39%
Labor 47% 39% 35% 38% 42%
Greens 8% 9% 14% 11% 9%
Family First 2% 2% 2% 3% 3%
Other/Independent 6% 8% 8% 8% 7%
2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

Total Lib/Nat 43% 49% 49% 48% 46%
Labor 57% 51% 51% 52% 54%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.

* Sample is the aggregation of two weeks’ polling data. Comments »

Changing Leaders – Approval

Jun 28, 2010

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of Julia Gillard replacing Kevin Rudd as leader of the Labor Party and Prime Minister?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat
Total approve 47% 68% 36%
Total disapprove 40% 23% 60%
Strongly approve 15% 27% 10%
Approve 32% 41% 26%
Disapprove 19% 11% 26%
Strongly disapprove 21% 12% 34%
Don’t know 12% 9% 5%

Sample = 818

47% approved the change from Kevin Rudd to Julia Gillard as Prime Minister and 40% disapproved. Opinions reflected political party preferences. Labor voters strongly approved the change by 68% to 23% while 60% of Liberal/National voters disapproved and 36% approved. There were no significant differences by gender. However, older respondents were more likely to approve than younger respondents – 55% of those aged 55+ approved and 37% disapproved. Comments »

Better Prime Minister

Jun 28, 2010

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat 21 Jun 10
Julia Gillard 49% 86% 12% 50%
Tony Abbott 29% 4% 73% 32%
Don’t know 22% 11% 12% 18%

Sample = 818

49% preferred Julia Gillard as Prime Minister and 29% preferred Tony Abbott – similar to the results from last week before Julia Gillard became Prime Minister. This is also slightly better than last week’s result for Kevin Rudd when he was preferred over Tony Abbott by 47% to 30%. Men preferred Julia Gillard 47%/33% and women 51%/25%.  Comments »

Best Leader – Rudd/Abbott

Jun 21, 2010

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Kevin Rudd and Tony Abbott?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat 22 Mar 10
Kevin Rudd 47% 90% 9% 50%
Tony Abbott 30% 3% 80% 30%
Don’t know 23% 7% 11% 19%

47% believe that Kevin Rudd would make the best Prime Minister and 30% preferred Tony Abbott. This is little changed since the last time this question was asked when Kevin Rudd was preferred 50% to 30%.

Men preferred Kevin Rudd by 45% to 38%, whereas women were much less likely to prefer Tony Abbott (Rudd 49%, Abbott 23%).  Greens voters preferred Kevin Rudd 64% to 9%. Comments »

Best Leader – Rudd/Gillard

Jun 21, 2010

Q7. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Kevin Rudd and Julia Gillard?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat 15 Feb 10
Kevin Rudd 36% 56% 26% 45%
Julia Gillard 33% 30% 36% 26%
Don’t know 31% 14% 38% 29%

Respondents were fairly evenly split over whether Kevin Rudd (36%) or Julia Gillard (33%) would make the better Prime Minister. This is a substantial change since this question was last asked in February – Julia Gillard up 7% and Kevin Rudd down 9%.

Labor voters preferred Kevin Rudd (56% to 30%) and Liberal voters preferred Julia Gillard (36% to 26%). Greens voters preferred Julia Gillard by 62% to 18%.

Men show greater support for Kevin Rudd (40%/33%) whereas women were evenly divided (32%/34%). Comments »

Approval of the Prime Minister, Kevin Rudd

May 31, 2010

Q. Do you strongly approve, approve, disapprove or strongly disapprove of the job Kevin Rudd is doing as Prime Minister?

  30 Mar 09 29 Jun 09 28 Sept 09 30 Nov 09 14 Dec 09 18 Jan 10 22 Feb 10 29 Mar 10 3 May 10 31 May 10
Strongly approve 21% 14% 15% 9% 10% 11% 11% 12% 8% 7%
Approve 50% 48% 51% 47% 47% 44% 41% 41% 38% 34%
Disapprove 14% 18% 17% 20% 20% 19% 20% 22% 25% 25%
Strongly disapprove 7% 9% 6% 15% 12% 14% 17% 14% 17% 22%
Don’t know 9% 11% 11% 10% 10% 12% 11% 12% 12% 12%
Total approve 71% 62% 66% 56% 57% 55% 52% 53% 46% 41%
Total disapprove 21% 29% 23% 35% 32% 33% 37% 36% 42% 47%

 Kevin Rudd’s net approval rating has fallen to a net negative for the first time since he became Prime Minister. 41% approve (down 5%) of the job Kevin Rudd is doing as Prime Minister and 47% disapprove (up 5%).

 89% of Labor voters approve and 87% of Liberal/National voters disapprove. Greens voters are split 48% approve/45% disapprove.

 Younger people are more likely to approve of Kevin Rudd’s performance than older people. Those aged under 35 were net positive (45% approve/33% disapprove) and those aged 55+ strongly negative (31% approve/64% disapprove). Comments »

Opinion of Kevin Rudd and the Labor Party

May 24, 2010

Opinion of Kevin Rudd an the Labor Party

 Q. Would you say that your view of Kevin Rudd and the Labor Government has become more or less favourable in recent weeks? 

Total more favourable 11%
Total less favourable 58%
Much more favourable 3%
A little more favourable 8%
A little less favourable 25%
Much less favourable 33%
No change 26%
Don’t know 3%

58% of respondents said their view of Kevin Rudd and the Labor Government had become less favourable over recent weeks and 11% said they had become more favourable.

22% of Labor voters said they had become more favourable and 31% less favourable. Coalition voters split 4% more favourable/81% less favourable and Greens voters 23% more favourable/58% less favourable.

47% of those aged under 35 were less favourable compared to 66% of those aged 45+. Comments »

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