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  • Aug, 2012

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,868 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    16/7/12

    2 weeks ago

    30/7/12

    Last week

    6/8/12

    This week

    13/8/12

    Liberal

    46%

    45%

    46%

    46%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    49%

    49%

    49%

    49%

    Labor

    38.0%

    31%

    33%

    33%

    32%

    Greens

    11.8%

    10%

    10%

    10%

    10%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    9%

    8%

    8%

    8%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    57%

    55%

    56%

    56%

    Labor

    50.1%

    43%

    45%

    44%

    44%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

  • Aug, 2012

    , , , , , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,832 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    9/7/12

    2 weeks ago

    23/7/12

    Last week

    30/7/12

    This week

    6/8/12

    Liberal

    46%

    45%

    45%

    46%

    National

    4%

    4%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    49%

    49%

    49%

    49%

    Labor

    38.0%

    31%

    33%

    33%

    33%

    Greens

    11.8%

    11%

    10%

    10%

    10%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    9%

    9%

    8%

    8%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    56%

    56%

    55%

    56%

    Labor

    50.1%

    44%

    44%

    45%

    44%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

  • Aug, 2012

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    Party with Better Policies

    Q. Which party do you think has the better policies for the following groups of people?

     

    Labor Party

    Liberal Party

    No difference

    Don’t know

    Pensioners

    32%

    21%

    30%

    17%

    Unemployed people

    36%

    18%

    29%

    17%

    People with disabilities

    32%

    16%

    30%

    22%

    Carers

    30%

    18%

    30%

    22%

    People on low incomes

    40%

    18%

    26%

    16%

    All working people

    29%

    30%

    26%

    15%

    The Labor Party was thought to have better policies than the Liberal Party on all issues except “all working people” where both parties had similar ratings. In particular the Labor Party was thought to have better policies for people on low incomes (40% Labor/18% Liberal), unemployed people (36%/18%) and people with disabilities (32%/16%).

    Of those aged 55+, 40% thought Labor had better policies for pensioners and 23% thought the Liberals had better policies.

    30% think the Liberals have better policies for all working people and 29% think Labor has better policies. Full-time workers are more likely to think The Liberals have better policies (37% Liberal/24% Labor) which part-time workers are more likely to favour Labor (37% Labor/29% Liberal).

  • Jul, 2012

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,837 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2/7/12

    2 weeks ago

    16/7/12

    Last week

    23/7/12

    This week

    30/7/12

    Liberal

    45%

    46%

    45%

    45%

    National

    3%

    3%

    4%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    49%

    49%

    49%

    49%

    Labor

    38.0%

    32%

    31%

    33%

    33%

    Greens

    11.8%

    10%

    10%

    10%

    10%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    8%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    56%

    57%

    56%

    55%

    Labor

    50.1%

    44%

    43%

    44%

    45%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. + or – 2%.

  • Jul, 2012

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    Concern about Liberals Bringing Back WorkChoices

    Q. If the Liberals won the election and reintroduced WorkChoices or similar laws, how concerned would you be?  

     

    31 May 10

    12 July 10

    21 Nov 11

    Total

    23 Jul 12

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Work full time

    Work part time

    Very concerned

    28%

    29%

    26%

    30%

    60%

    7%

    39%

    33%

    28%

    Quite concerned

    17%

    19%

    15%

    16%

    16%

    14%

    17%

    16%

    21%

    A little concerned

    20%

    16%

    20%

    15%

    11%

    18%

    20%

    14%

    17%

    Not concerned

    24%

    25%

    27%

    26%

    7%

    48%

    5%

    28%

    19%

    Don’t know

    11%

    11%

    11%

    14%

    6%

    12%

    20%

    11%

    15%

    Respondents were also more concerned about the re-introduction of WorkChoices than last year. 46% (up 5%) would be quite or very concerned if WorkChoices or similar laws were re-introduced and 41% (down 6%) were only a little or not concerned.

    76% of Labor voters and 56% of Greens voters would be concerned. 66% of Liberal/National voters would be a little/not concerned and 21% concerned.  49% of full-time workers and part-time workers said they would be very/quite concerned.

    51% of those aged 45-64 said they would be very/quite concerned.

  • Jul, 2012

    , , , , , , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,876 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    12/6/12

    2 weeks ago

    25/6/12

    Last week

    2/7/12

    This week

    9/7/12

    Liberal

    46%

    46%

    45%

    46%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    4%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    49%

    49%

    49%

    49%

    Labor

    38.0%

    32%

    33%

    32%

    31%

    Greens

    11.8%

    10%

    10%

    10%

    11%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    9%

    8%

    9%

    9%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    56%

    56%

    56%

    56%

    Labor

    50.1%

    44%

    44%

    44%

    44%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. + or – 2%.

  • Jun, 2012

    , , , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,842 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    21/5/12

    2 weeks ago

    4/6/12

    Last week

    12/6/12

    This week

    18/6/12

    Liberal

    46%

    47%

    46%

    46%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    49%

    50%

    49%

    49%

    Labor

    38.0%

    33%

    33%

    32%

    33%

    Greens

    11.8%

    10%

    10%

    10%

    10%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    8%

    7%

    9%

    8%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    56%

    56%

    56%

    56%

    Labor

    50.1%

    44%

    44%

    44%

    44%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. + or – 2%.

  • May, 2012

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    State of the Economy

    Q. Overall, how would you describe the current state of the Australian economy?

     

    Total

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Total good

    35%

    56%

    24%

    54%

    Total poor

    29%

    13%

    42%

    18%

    Very good

    6%

    13%

    2%

    17%

    Good

    29%

    43%

    22%

    37%

    Neither good nor poor

    33%

    30%

    33%

    28%

    Poor

    20%

    9%

    29%

    14%

    Very poor

    9%

    4%

    13%

    4%

    Don’t know

    2%

    2%

    *

    1%

    35% described the economy as good or very good and 29% poor/very poor – 33% said it was neither.

    Those most likely to think the economy was good/very good were aged 18-34 (41%) and people with incomes over $1,600pw (44%).

    Those most likely to think the economy was poor/very poor were aged 55+ (34%) and people with incomes of $600-$1,000pw (36%).

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