27 May 2013, 270513, 2PP, Labor Party, Liberal Party, two party preferred, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,906 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 29/4/13 |
2 weeks ago 13/5/13 |
Last week 20/5/13 |
This week 27/5/13 |
| Liberal |
|
45% |
44% |
45% |
45% |
| National |
|
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
48% |
48% |
48% |
48% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
34% |
34% |
35% |
34% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
9% |
9% |
8% |
8% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
9% |
10% |
9% |
10% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week
|
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
55% |
55% |
55% |
55% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
44% |
45% |
45% |
45% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.
20 May 2013, 200513, 2PP, Labor Party, Liberal Party, two party preferred, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,924 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 22/4/13 |
2 weeks ago 6/5/13 |
Last week 13/5/13 |
This week 20/5/13 |
| Liberal |
|
44% |
44% |
44% |
45% |
| National |
|
3% |
4% |
3% |
3% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
48% |
48% |
48% |
48% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
34% |
33% |
34% |
35% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
8% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
9% |
10% |
10% |
9% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week
|
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
55% |
56% |
55% |
55% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
44% |
44% |
45% |
45% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.
20 May 2013, 200513, Liberal Party, WorkChoices
Q. If they won the next election, how likely do you think it would be that Tony Abbott and the Liberal Party would try to bring back industrial laws similar to WorkChoices?
|
31 May 10 |
12 |
21 |
23 |
3 |
18
|
Total 20 May |
Vote |
Vote |
Vote Greens |
Work full |
Work part time |
|
| Total likely |
58% |
56% |
51% |
53% |
51% |
48% |
51% |
78% |
28% |
84% |
50% |
47% |
| Total unlikely |
21% |
24% |
27% |
22% |
25% |
28% |
27% |
9% |
48% |
7% |
29% |
25% |
| Very likely |
28% |
26% |
22% |
26% |
23% |
25% |
26% |
49% |
5% |
57% |
25% |
19% |
| Quite likely |
30% |
30% |
29% |
27% |
28% |
23% |
25% |
29% |
23% |
27% |
25% |
28% |
| Not very likely |
18% |
18% |
19% |
16% |
18% |
19% |
16% |
5% |
29% |
7% |
18% |
14% |
| Not at all likely |
3% |
6% |
8% |
6% |
7% |
9% |
11% |
4% |
19% |
– |
11% |
11% |
| Don’t know |
20% |
20% |
22% |
26% |
24% |
25% |
23% |
12% |
24% |
9% |
22% |
28% |
Respondents were a little more likely to think that Tony Abbott and the Liberal Party would try to bring back industrial laws similar to WorkChoices than when a similar question was asked in March. 51% (up 3%) think it is likely that Tony Abbott and the Liberal Party would try to bring back industrial laws similar to WorkChoices if they won the next election and 27% (down 1%) think it is unlikely.
78% (up 11%) of Labor voters and 84% (up 17%) of Greens voters think it is likely, while Liberal/National voters split 28% likely (down 3%) to 48% unlikely (up 4%).
13 May 2013, 130513, 2PP, Labor Party, Liberal Party, two party preferred, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,945 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 15/4/13 |
2 weeks ago 29/4/13 |
Last week 6/5/13 |
This week 13/5/13 |
| Liberal |
|
44% |
45% |
44% |
44% |
| National |
|
3% |
3% |
4% |
3% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
48% |
48% |
48% |
48% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
34% |
34% |
33% |
34% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
9% |
9% |
10% |
10% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week
|
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
55% |
55% |
56% |
55% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
44% |
45% |
44% |
45% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.
22 April 2013, 220413, 2PP, ALP, Labor Party, Liberal Party, two party preferred, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,905 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 25/3/13 |
2 weeks ago 8/4/13 |
Last week 15/4/13 |
This week 22/4/13 |
| Liberal |
|
45% |
47% |
44% |
44% |
| National |
|
2% |
2% |
3% |
3% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
47% |
49% |
48% |
48% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
33% |
32% |
34% |
34% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
11% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week
|
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
54% |
56% |
55% |
55% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
46% |
44% |
45% |
45% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.
080413, 2PP, 8 April 2013, Labor Party, Liberal Party, two party preferred, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,896 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 11/3/13 |
2 weeks ago 25/2/13 |
Last week 2/4/13 |
This week 8/4/13 |
| Liberal |
45% |
45% |
47% |
47% |
|
| National |
3% |
2% |
2% |
2% |
|
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
48% |
47% |
49% |
49% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
34% |
33% |
31% |
32% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
9% |
11% |
11% |
9% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week
|
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
55% |
54% |
56% |
56% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
45% |
46% |
44% |
44% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.
25 March 2013, 250313, 2PP, Labor Party, Liberal Party, two party preferred, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,797 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 25/2/13 |
2 weeks ago 11/2/13 |
Last week 18/3/13 |
This week 25/3/13 |
| Liberal |
46% |
45% |
45% |
45% |
|
| National |
3% |
3% |
2% |
2% |
|
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
49% |
48% |
47% |
47% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
34% |
34% |
35% |
33% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
11% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
8% |
9% |
8% |
9% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week
|
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
56% |
55% |
54% |
54% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
44% |
45% |
46% |
46% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.
18 March 2013, 180313, 2PP, Greens, Labor Party, Liberal Party, two party preferred, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,874 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 18/2/13 |
2 weeks ago 4/2/13 |
Last week 11/3/13 |
This week 18/3/13 |
| Liberal |
|
44% |
46% |
45% |
45% |
| National |
|
3% |
3% |
3% |
2% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
47% |
49% |
48% |
47% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
35% |
32% |
34% |
35% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
9% |
10% |
9% |
9% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
8% |
8% |
9% |
8% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week
|
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
54% |
56% |
55% |
54% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
46% |
44% |
45% |
46% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.