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  • May, 2012

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,884 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    30/4/12

    2 weeks ago

    14/5/12

    Last week

    21/5/12

    This week

    28/5/12

    Liberal

    46%

    47%

    46%

    47%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    50%

    50%

    49%

    50%

    Labor

    38.0%

    31%

    30%

    33%

    33%

    Greens

    11.8%

    11%

    11%

    10%

    10%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    9%

    9%

    8%

    7

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    57%

    57%

    56%

    57%

    Labor

    50.1%

    43%

    43%

    44%

    43%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. + or – 2%.

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