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  • Apr, 2012

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    Comparison of Leader Attributes

     

    Julia Gillard

    Tony Abbott

    Difference

    Intelligent

    61%

    56%

    +5%

    Hard-working

    65%

    68%

    -3%

    A capable leader

    38%

    41%

    -3%

    Arrogant

    53%

    61%

    -8%

    Out of touch with ordinary people

    65%

    54%

    +11%

    Understands the problems facing Australia

    41%

    49%

    -8%

    Visionary

    25%

    26%

    -1%

    Superficial

    54%

    49%

    +5%

    Good in a crisis

    36%

    36%

    Narrow-minded

    53%

    54%

    -1%

    More honest than most politicians

    26%

    30%

    -4%

    Trustworthy

    25%

    32%

    -7%

    Julia Gillard rates higher than Tony Abbott on out of touch with ordinary people (+11%), intelligent (+5%) and superficial (+5%).

    She rates lower than Tony Abbott on arrogant (-8%), understands the problems facing Australia (-8%) and trustworthy (-7%).

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  • Mar, 2012

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,923 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    27/2/12

    2 weeks ago

    12/3/12

    Last week

    19/3/12

    This week

    26/3/12

    Liberal

    46%

    46%

    45%

    45%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    49%

    49%

    48%

    47%

    Labor

    38.0%

    32%

    31%

    32%

    34%

    Greens

    11.8%

    11%

    10%

    11%

    10%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    8%

    10%

    9%

    9%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    56%

    57%

    56%

    54%

    Labor

    50.1%

    44%

    43%

    44%

    46%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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  • Mar, 2012

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,918 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

     

    This week

    Liberal

    45%

    47%

    46%

    45%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    48%

    49%

    49%

    48%

    Labor

    38.0%

    33%

    32%

    31%

    32%

    Greens

    11.8%

    11%

    10%

    10%

    11%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    9%

    9%

    10%

    9%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    55%

    56%

    57%

    56%

    Labor

    50.1%

    45%

    44%

    43%

    44%

     

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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  • Mar, 2012

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,902 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

     

    This week

    Liberal

    44%

    46%

    47%

    46%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    47%

    49%

    49%

    49%

    Labor

    38.0%

    34%

    32%

    32%

    31%

    Greens

    11.8%

    10%

    11%

    10%

    10%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    9%

    8%

    9%

    10%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    54%

    56%

    56%

    57%

    Labor

    50.1%

    46%

    44%

    44%

    43%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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  • Mar, 2012

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    Approval of Tony Abbott

    Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader?

    18 Jan

    2010

    5 Jul

    2010

    20 Dec 2010

    14 Mar

    2011

    14 June

    12 Sept

    17 Oct

    14 Nov

    12 Dec

    16 Jan 2012

    13 Feb

    12 Mar

    Total approve

    37%

    37%

    39%

    38%

    38%

    39%

    40%

    36%

    32%

    35%

    35%

    36%

    Total disapprove

    37%

    47%

    39%

    47%

    48%

    50%

    51%

    52%

    53%

    51%

    53%

    52%

    Strongly approve

    5%

    8%

    9%

    7%

    6%

    8%

    8%

    6%

    6%

    7%

    6%

    7%

    Approve

    32%

    29%

    30%

    31%

    32%

    31%

    32%

    30%

    26%

    28%

    29%

    29%

    Disapprove

    20%

    23%

    21%

    24%

    25%

    23%

    23%

    26%

    25%

    25%

    23%

    23%

    Strongly disapprove

    17%

    24%

    18%

    23%

    23%

    27%

    28%

    26%

    28%

    26%

    30%

    29%

    Don’t know

    26%

    16%

    22%

    16%

    15%

    11%

    9%

    12%

    14%

    13%

    12%

    12%

    Tony Abbott’s approval rating has changed little over the last month. 36% (up 1%) approve of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader and 52% (down 1%) disapprove – a change in net rating from -18 to -16 over the last 4 weeks.

    70% (up 3%) of Coalition voters approve and 21% (no change) disapprove.

    By gender – men 37% approve/54% disapprove, women 36% approve/49% disapprove.

    Comments »

  • Mar, 2012

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    Better Prime Minister

    Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

     

    5 Jul 2010

    14 Mar

    14 June

    12 Sept

    17 Oct

    14 Nov

    12 Dec

    16 Jan 2012

    13 Feb

    12 Mar

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Julia Gillard

    53%

    44%

    41%

    36%

    38%

    41%

    39%

    39%

    41%

    40%

    84%

    6%

    74%

    Tony Abbott

    26%

    33%

    36%

    40%

    39%

    36%

    35%

    36%

    34%

    37%

    4%

    76%

    5%

    Don’t know

    21%

    23%

    24%

    24%

    23%

    24%

    26%

    25%

    25%

    23%

    12%

    18%

    21%

    40% (down 1%) believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 37% (up 3%) prefer Tony Abbott – a net change from +7% to +3% for Julia Gillard.

    Both men and women prefer Julia Gillard 40%/37%.

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  • Mar, 2012

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,891 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

     

    This week

    Liberal

    44%

    45%

    46%

    47%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    47%

    48%

    49%

    49%

    Labor

    38.0%

    33%

    33%

    32%

    32%

    Greens

    11.8%

    11%

    11%

    11%

    10%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    9%

    9%

    8%

    9%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    54%

    55%

    56%

    56%

    Labor

    50.1%

    46%

    45%

    44%

    44%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

    Comments »

  • Mar, 2012

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    More or Less Likely to Vote Labor

    Q. Has the re-election of Julia Gillard as leader of the Labor Party made you more or less likely to support the ALP at the next federal election.

     

    Total

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Total more likely

    13%

    33%

    5%

    18%

    Total less likely

    47%

    21%

    64%

    38%

    Much more likely

    6%

    17%

    1%

    5%

    A little more likely

    7%

    16%

    4%

    13%

    A little less likely

    10%

    11%

    7%

    16%

    Much less likely

    37%

    10%

    57%

    22%

    Makes no difference

    34%

    42%

    30%

    43%

    Don’t know

    5%

    3%

    1%

    47% say that the re-election of Julia Gillard as leader has made them less likely to support the Labor Party and only 13% say it has made them more likely to support the Labor Party at the next election.

    Among Labor voters, 33% say it has made them more likely and 21% less likely to support Labor.

    Comments »

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