Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,906 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
4 weeks ago 13/5/13 |
2 weeks ago 27/5/13 |
Last week 3/6/13 |
This week 11/6/13 |
| Liberal |
|
44% |
45% |
45% |
44% |
|
| National |
|
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
|
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
48% |
48% |
48% |
47% |
|
| Labor |
38.0% |
34% |
34% |
35% |
36% |
|
| Greens |
11.8% |
9% |
8% |
8% |
8% |
|
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
10% |
10% |
9% |
9% |
| 2 Party Preferred |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
4 weeks ago 13/5/13 |
2 weeks ago 27/5/13 |
Last week 3/6/13 |
This week 11/6/13 |
| Liberal National |
49.9% |
55% |
55% |
55% |
54% |
|
| Labor |
50.1% |
45% |
45% |
45% |
46% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,903 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
4 weeks ago 6/5/13 |
2 weeks ago 20/5/13 |
Last week 27/5/13 |
This week 3/6/13 |
| Liberal |
|
44% |
45% |
45% |
45% |
|
| National |
4% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
||
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
48% |
48% |
48% |
48% |
|
| Labor |
38.0% |
33% |
35% |
34% |
35% |
|
| Greens |
11.8% |
9% |
8% |
8% |
8% |
|
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
10% |
9% |
10% |
9% |
| 2 Party Preferred |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
4 weeks ago 6/5/13 |
2 weeks ago 20/5/13 |
Last week 27/5/13 |
This week 3/6/13 |
| Liberal |
49.9% |
56% |
55% |
55% |
55% |
|
| Labor |
50.1% |
44% |
45% |
45% |
45% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,906 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 29/4/13 |
2 weeks ago 13/5/13 |
Last week 20/5/13 |
This week 27/5/13 |
| Liberal |
|
45% |
44% |
45% |
45% |
| National |
|
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
48% |
48% |
48% |
48% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
34% |
34% |
35% |
34% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
9% |
9% |
8% |
8% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
9% |
10% |
9% |
10% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week
|
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
55% |
55% |
55% |
55% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
44% |
45% |
45% |
45% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,924 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 22/4/13 |
2 weeks ago 6/5/13 |
Last week 13/5/13 |
This week 20/5/13 |
| Liberal |
|
44% |
44% |
44% |
45% |
| National |
|
3% |
4% |
3% |
3% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
48% |
48% |
48% |
48% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
34% |
33% |
34% |
35% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
8% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
9% |
10% |
10% |
9% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week
|
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
55% |
56% |
55% |
55% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
44% |
44% |
45% |
45% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,945 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 15/4/13 |
2 weeks ago 29/4/13 |
Last week 6/5/13 |
This week 13/5/13 |
| Liberal |
|
44% |
45% |
44% |
44% |
| National |
|
3% |
3% |
4% |
3% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
48% |
48% |
48% |
48% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
34% |
34% |
33% |
34% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
9% |
9% |
10% |
10% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week
|
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
55% |
55% |
56% |
55% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
44% |
45% |
44% |
45% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,905 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 25/3/13 |
2 weeks ago 8/4/13 |
Last week 15/4/13 |
This week 22/4/13 |
| Liberal |
|
45% |
47% |
44% |
44% |
| National |
|
2% |
2% |
3% |
3% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
47% |
49% |
48% |
48% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
33% |
32% |
34% |
34% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
11% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week
|
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
54% |
56% |
55% |
55% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
46% |
44% |
45% |
45% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,896 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 11/3/13 |
2 weeks ago 25/2/13 |
Last week 2/4/13 |
This week 8/4/13 |
| Liberal |
45% |
45% |
47% |
47% |
|
| National |
3% |
2% |
2% |
2% |
|
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
48% |
47% |
49% |
49% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
34% |
33% |
31% |
32% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
9% |
11% |
11% |
9% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week
|
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
55% |
54% |
56% |
56% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
45% |
46% |
44% |
44% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,797 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 25/2/13 |
2 weeks ago 11/2/13 |
Last week 18/3/13 |
This week 25/3/13 |
| Liberal |
46% |
45% |
45% |
45% |
|
| National |
3% |
3% |
2% |
2% |
|
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
49% |
48% |
47% |
47% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
34% |
34% |
35% |
33% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
11% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
8% |
9% |
8% |
9% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week
|
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
56% |
55% |
54% |
54% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
44% |
45% |
46% |
46% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,874 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 18/2/13 |
2 weeks ago 4/2/13 |
Last week 11/3/13 |
This week 18/3/13 |
| Liberal |
|
44% |
46% |
45% |
45% |
| National |
|
3% |
3% |
3% |
2% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
47% |
49% |
48% |
47% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
35% |
32% |
34% |
35% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
9% |
10% |
9% |
9% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
8% |
8% |
9% |
8% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week
|
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
54% |
56% |
55% |
54% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
46% |
44% |
45% |
46% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.
Government deserves to be re-elected
Q. As of now, do you think the current Federal Labor Government of Julia Gillard deserves to be re-elected?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Yes, deserves to be re-elected |
26% |
66% |
4% |
31% |
| No, does not deserve to be re-elected |
57% |
17% |
88% |
38% |
| Don’t know |
17% |
17% |
8% |
31% |
26% think that the Labor Government deserves to be re-elected and 57% think they do not. 66% of Labor voters think they deserve to be re-elected.
64% of men and 50% of women think they don’t deserve to be re-elected.
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,882 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 21/1/13 |
2 weeks ago 5/2/13 |
Last week 11/2/13 |
This week 18/2/13 |
| Liberal |
|
44% |
45% |
45% |
44% |
| National |
|
4% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
48% |
48% |
48% |
47% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
36% |
34% |
34% |
35% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
9% |
10% |
9% |
9% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
8% |
8% |
9% |
8% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week
|
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
54% |
54% |
55% |
54% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
46% |
46% |
45% |
46% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.
Essential Report
Two Party Preferred: 17 June 2013
In this week's report:
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Essential Report with EMC’s Peter Lewis and Jackie Woods
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Comments12 Sep 2012Ken Morrison says our cities need to be transformed for our ageing population – and it’s not solely about nursing homes.
-
Ships, trains and submarines — can we build them here?
Comments11 Sep 2012Tim Ayres wishes Clive Palmer and other mining giants would give local manufacturers a go instead of heading overseas.
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Do we undervalue our public sector innovations?
Comments11 Sep 2012Nadine Flood questions whether governments take our science and other publicly funded breakthroughs for granted.
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