Federal politics – voting intention

Apr 15, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,887 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 18/3/14

2 weeks ago

1/4/14

Last week

8/4/14

This week

15/4/14

Liberal

 

40%

40%

40%

40%

National

3%

2%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

43%

42%

42%

42%

Labor

33.4%

36%

39%

38%

37%

Greens

8.6%

9%

9%

9%

10%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

4%

3%

3%

4%

Other/Independent

6.9%

8%

7%

8%

7%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 18/3/14

2 weeks ago

1/4/14

Last week

8/4/14

This week

15/4/14

Liberal National

53.5%

51%

49%

49%

50%

Labor

46.5%

49%

51%

51%

50%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Apr 8, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,918 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 11/3/14

2 weeks ago

25/3/14

Last week

1/4/14

This week

8/4/14

Liberal

 

40%

41%

40%

40%

National

3%

3%

2%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

42%

44%

42%

42%

Labor

33.4%

38%

37%

39%

38%

Greens

8.6%

8%

9%

9%

9%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

4%

4%

3%

3%

Other/Independent

6.9%

8%

7%

7%

8%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 11/3/14

2 weeks ago

25/3/14

Last week

1/4/14

This week

8/4/14

Liberal National

53.5%

50%

51%

49%

49%

Labor

46.5%

50%

49%

51%

51%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Apr 1, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,867 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 4/3/14

2 weeks ago

18/3/14

Last week

25/3/14

This week

1/4/14

Liberal

 

41%

40%

41%

40%

National

3%

3%

3%

2%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

44%

43%

44%

42%

Labor

33.4%

38%

36%

37%

39%

Greens

8.6%

8%

9%

9%

9%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

3%

4%

4%

3%

Other/Independent

6.9%

7%

8%

7%

7%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 4/3/14

2 weeks ago

18/3/14

Last week

25/3/14

This week

1/4/14

Liberal National

53.5%

51%

51%

51%

49%

Labor

46.5%

49%

49%

49%

51%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.


 

Federal politics – voting intention

Mar 25, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,873 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 25/2/14

2 weeks ago

11/3/14

Last week

18/3/14

This week

25/3/14

Liberal

 

39%

40%

40%

41%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

42%

42%

43%

44%

Labor

33.4%

39%

38%

36%

37%

Greens

8.6%

9%

8%

9%

9%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

4%

4%

4%

4%

Other/Independent

6.9%

7%

8%

8%

7%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 25/2/14

2 weeks ago

11/3/14

Last week

18/3/14

This week

25/3/14

Liberal National

53.5%

49%

50%

51%

51%

Labor

46.5%

51%

50%

49%

49%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Party Attributes Comparison – Labor vs Liberal

Mar 25, 2014
 

Labor

Liberal

 

Difference

Divided

58%

32%

+26

Looks after the interests of working people

54%

37%

+17

Moderate

52%

46%

+6

Understands the problems facing Australia

49%

47%

+2

Have good policies

44%

44%

-

Trustworthy

31%

32%

-1

Will promise to do anything to win votes

63%

67%

-4

Keeps its promises

30%

35%

-5

Extreme

30%

37%

-7

Clear about what they stand for

42%

50%

-8

Has a good team of leaders

34%

43%

-9

Have a vision for the future

43%

53%

-10

Out of touch with ordinary people

49%

59%

-10

Too close to the big corporate and financial interests

34%

62%

-28

The Labor Party is viewed more favourably than the Liberal Party in terms of looking after the interest of working people, being too close to the big corporate and financial interests and out of touch with ordinary people.

The Liberal Party is seen more favourably in terms of being divided, have a vision for the future and has a good team of leaders.

Federal politics – voting intention

Mar 18, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,912 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 18/2/14

2 weeks ago

4/3/14

Last week

11/3/14

This week

18/3/14

Liberal

 

38%

41%

40%

40%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

41%

44%

42%

43%

Labor

33.4%

40%

38%

38%

36%

Greens

8.6%

8%

8%

8%

9%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

4%

3%

4%

4%

Other/Independent

6.9%

8%

7%

8%

8%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 18/2/14

2 weeks ago

4/3/14

Last week

11/3/14

This week

18/3/14

Liberal National

53.5%

49%

51%

50%

51%

Labor

46.5%

51%

49%

50%

49%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Mar 11, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,860 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 11/2/14

2 weeks ago

25/2/14

Last week

4/3/14

This week

11/3/14

Liberal

 

40%

39%

41%

40%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

43%

42%

44%

42%

Labor

33.4%

39%

39%

38%

38%

Greens

8.6%

8%

9%

8%

8%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

3%

4%

3%

4%

Other/Independent

6.9%

7%

7%

7%

8%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 11/2/14

2 weeks ago

25/2/14

Last week

4/3/14

This week

11/3/14

Liberal National

53.5%

50%

49%

51%

50%

Labor

46.5%

50%

51%

49%

50%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Mar 5, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,842 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 4/2/14

2 weeks ago

18/2/14

Last week

25/2/14

This week

4/3/14

Liberal

 

40%

38%

39%

41%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

43%

41%

42%

44%

Labor

33.4%

39%

40%

39%

38%

Greens

8.6%

8%

8%

9%

8%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

3%

4%

4%

3%

Other/Independent

6.9%

7%

8%

7%

7%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 4/2/14

2 weeks ago

18/2/14

Last week

25/2/14

This week

4/3/14

Liberal National

53.5%

50%

49%

49%

51%

Labor

46.5%

50%

51%

51%

49%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

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