Party trust to handle issues

Sep 2, 2013

Q.  Which party would you trust most to handle the following issues?

 

Labor

Liberal

Greens

Don’t know

 

Difference 2 Sep 13

Difference 23 Jul 13

Management of the economy

32%

47%

4%

18%

-15

-15

Ensuring a quality education for all children

42%

32%

8%

19%

+10

+9

Ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system

37%

34%

8%

21%

+3

+1

Protecting the environment

19%

21%

43%

17%

+22

+18

A fair industrial relations system

41%

31%

7%

21%

+10

+11

Political leadership

31%

40%

6%

23%

-9

-7

Addressing climate change

24%

23%

32%

21%

+9

+7

Controlling interest rates

29%

41%

4%

26%

-12

-14

Australian jobs and protection of local industries

38%

36%

5%

21%

-2

-1

Ensuring a quality water supply

22%

30%

22%

26%

-8

-7

Housing affordability

30%

32%

7%

31%

-2

-2

Ensuring a fair taxation system

32%

37%

6%

26%

-5

-2

Security and the war on terrorism

27%

38%

5%

30%

-11

-15

Treatment of asylum seekers

23%

36%

16%

26%

-13

-11

Managing population growth

24%

33%

9%

34%

-9

-13

Note – Differences are calculated by subtracting Liberal % from Labor % – except for the two issues on which the Greens lead in which case it is Greens minus Liberal.

The Labor Party is trusted more to handle a quality education for all children (+10) and a fair industrial relations system (+10).

The Liberal Party is trusted more to handle management of the economy (-15), treatment of asylum seekers (-13), controlling interest rates (-12) and security and the war on terrorism (-11).

There have been no major changes since this question was last asked in July.

Party attributes comparison – Labor vs Liberal

Aug 19, 2013
 

Labor

Liberal

Difference

Divided

66%

31%

+35

Looks after the interests of working people

53%

36%

+17

Have good policies

46%

38%

+8

Understands the problems facing Australia

50%

48%

+2

Will promise to do anything to win votes

65%

65%

-

Moderate

48%

48%

-

Has a good team of leaders

36%

36%

-

Trustworthy

30%

30%

-

Have a vision for the future

49%

51%

-2

Extreme

34%

39%

-5

Keeps its promises

27%

32%

-5

Out of touch with ordinary people

51%

58%

-7

Clear about what they stand for

38%

45%

-7

Too close to the big corporate and financial interests

31%

60%

-29

The Labor Party is viewed more favourably than the Liberal Party in terms of looking after the interest of working people, being too close to the big corporate and financial interests, having good policies and less out of touch with ordinary people.

The Liberal Party is seen more favourably in terms of being divided and clear about what they stand for.

Likelihood of voting Labor

Jul 1, 2013

Q. Would you be more likely or less likely to vote for the Labor Party now that Kevin Rudd is leader?

 

Total

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Total more likely

33%

61%

14%

21%

Total less likely

19%

4%

33%

26%

Much more likely

20%

46%

3%

10%

A little more likely

13%

15%

11%

11%

Makes no difference

42%

34%

50%

44%

A little less likely

4%

2%

4%

15%

Much less likely

15%

2%

29%

11%

Don’t know

6%

2%

3%

11%

33% say they are more likely to vote Labor now the Kevin Rudd is leader, 19% are less likely and 42% say it makes no difference.

For men, 34% say they are more likely and 19% less likely compared to 32% more likely and 19% less likely with women.

Federal politics – voting intention

Feb 25, 2013

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,899 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

29/1/13

2 weeks ago

11/2/13

Last week

18/2/13

This week

25/2/13

Liberal

44%

45%

44%

46%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

48%

48%

47%

49%

Labor

38.0%

35%

34%

35%

34%

Greens

11.8%

10%

9%

9%

9%

Other/Independent

6.6%

7%

9%

8%

8%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

 

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

54%

55%

54%

56%

Labor

50.1%

46%

45%

46%

44%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

Party that represents blue-collar workers

Feb 25, 2013

Q. Which is the party that best represents the interests of blue-collar workers? 

 

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Labor

34%

67%

18%

32%

Liberal

21%

5%

39%

2%

Greens

2%

1%

1%

20%

No difference

15%

7%

19%

16%

None of them

10%

6%

10%

17%

Don’t know

18%

13%

14%

13%

34% think that the Labor Party best represents the interests of blue-collar workers and 21% think the Liberal Party does.

43% said none, no difference of did not know.

67% of Labor voters nominated the Labor Party and 39% of Liberal/National voters nominated the Liberal Party.

Senate voting intention

Feb 20, 2013

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote in the Senate? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward for the Senate?

If don’t know –

Q. Well which party are you currently leaning to for the Senate?

 

Total Australia

NSW

Queensland

Victoria

SA

WA

Sample

3,755

1,282

744

974

307

352

Labor

33%

32%

32%

37%

31%

31%

Liberal/National

47%

48%

44%

43%

39%

55%

Greens

11%

10%

10%

12%

11%

10%

Katter Party

2%

1%

7%

1%

1%

*

Others/independents

8%

9%

7%

7%

18%

4%

* Based on Interviewing conducted across 4 weeks of Essential Report – 24 January-17 February.

Federal politics – voting intention

Feb 11, 2013

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,897 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

14/1/13

2 weeks ago

29/1/13

Last week

5/02/13

This week

11/02/13

Liberal

44%

44%

45%

45%

National

4%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

48%

48%

48%

48%

Labor

38.0%

36%

35%

34%

34%

Greens

11.8%

8%

10%

10%

9%

Other/Independent

6.6%

8%

7%

8%

9%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

 

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

54%

54%

54%

55%

Labor

50.1%

46%

46%

46%

45%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

Federal politics – voting intention

Jan 29, 2013

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,895 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

2 weeks ago

14/1/13

Last week

21/01/13

This week

29/01/13

Liberal

44%

44%

44%

National

4%

4%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

48%

48%

48%

Labor

38.0%

36%

36%

35%

Greens

11.8%

8%

9%

10%

Other/Independent

6.6%

8%

8%

7%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

2 weeks ago

Last week

 

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

54%

54%

54%

Labor

50.1%

46%

46%

46%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

Trust to deal with GFC

Jan 29, 2013

Q. If there was another Global Financial Crisis, which party would you trust most to deal with it?

 

15 Aug 11

7 May 12

Total 29 Jan 13

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

The Labor Party

31%

25%

26%

68%

2%

23%

The Liberal Party

40%

42%

40%

4%

84%

6%

No difference

20%

23%

22%

18%

10%

52%

Don’t know

9%

10%

11%

10%

4%

19%

If there was another GFC, 40% would trust the Liberal Party more to handle it and 26% would trust the Labor Party more. This represents a slight shift to the Labor Party from net -17% to net -14% since May last year.

The Liberal Party was rated higher than Labor with all demographic groups except for low income earners – 35% of those earning under $600pw would trust the Labor Party more and 29% the Liberal Party. Those most likely to trust the Liberal Party more were aged 55+ (52%), full-time workers (45%) and income over $1,600 pw (44%).

Federal politics – voting intention

Jan 14, 2013

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,878 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

17/12/12

This week

14/01/13

Liberal

45%

44%

National

3%

4%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

48%

48%

Labor

38.0%

36%

36%

Greens

11.8%

8%

8%

Other/Independent

6.6%

8%

8%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

55%

54%

Labor

50.1%

45%

46%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

Federal politics – voting intention

Dec 17, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,911 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

19/11/12

2 weeks ago

3/12/12

Last week

10/12/12

This week

17/12/12

Liberal

43%

44%

45%

45%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

46%

47%

48%

48%

Labor

38.0%

36%

37%

36%

36%

Greens

11.8%

10%

9%

8%

8%

Other/Independent

6.6%

9%

7%

8%

8%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

53%

53%

54%

55%

Labor

50.1%

47%

47%

46%

45%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

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