Better Prime Minister
Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?
|
5 Jul 2010 |
14 June 2011 |
12 Dec |
12 Jun 2012 |
10 Dec |
14 Jan 2013 |
11 Feb |
11 Mar |
15 Apr |
13 May |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Julia Gillard |
53% |
41% |
39% |
37% |
43% |
42% |
39% |
39% |
37% |
39% |
86% |
2% |
76% |
| Tony Abbott |
26% |
36% |
35% |
37% |
34% |
33% |
37% |
39% |
39% |
41% |
3% |
84% |
2% |
| Don’t know |
21% |
24% |
26% |
26% |
23% |
24% |
24% |
22% |
24% |
20% |
11% |
13% |
22% |
39% (up 2%) believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 41% (up 2%) prefer Tony Abbott.
Men prefer Tony Abbott 44%/35% and women prefer Julia Gillard 43%/38%.
Better Prime Minister
Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?
|
5 |
14 June |
12 Dec |
12 Mar 12 |
12 Jun |
10 Sept |
10 Dec |
14 |
11 Feb |
11 Mar |
15 |
Vote ALP |
Vote Lib |
Vote Greens |
|
| Julia Gillard |
53% |
41% |
39% |
40% |
37% |
40% |
43% |
42% |
39% |
39% |
37% |
81% |
6% |
62% |
| Tony Abbott |
26% |
36% |
35% |
37% |
37% |
37% |
34% |
33% |
37% |
39% |
39% |
6% |
78% |
6% |
| Don’t know |
21% |
24% |
26% |
23% |
26% |
24% |
23% |
24% |
24% |
22% |
24% |
13% |
16% |
32% |
37% (down 2%) believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 39% (no change) prefer Tony Abbott. This is the first time since August 2012 that Tony Abbott has been preferred over Julia Gillard.
Men prefer Tony Abbott 42%/36% and women prefer Julia Gillard 38%/36%.
Leader attributes – Julia Gillard
Q. Which of the following describe your opinion of the Prime Minister, Julia Gillard?
|
5 |
4 |
7 |
27 |
2 |
17 |
14 |
2 |
Change |
|
| Intelligent |
87% |
81% |
75% |
73% |
61% |
68% |
72% |
69% |
-3% |
| Hard-working |
89% |
82% |
76% |
75% |
65% |
69% |
72% |
66% |
-6% |
| Out of touch with ordinary people |
35% |
44% |
50% |
60% |
65% |
56% |
53% |
64% |
+11% |
| Arrogant |
37% |
39% |
44% |
48% |
53% |
46% |
47% |
55% |
+8% |
| Superficial |
51% |
52% |
54% |
46% |
46% |
55% |
+9% |
||
| Narrow-minded |
28% |
35% |
43% |
46% |
53% |
46% |
45% |
55% |
+10% |
| Aggressive |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
42% |
46% |
55% |
+9% |
| Erratic |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
43% |
40% |
55% |
+15% |
| Intolerant |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
37% |
37% |
49% |
+12% |
| Good in a crisis |
61% |
46% |
46% |
41% |
36% |
43% |
50% |
44% |
-6% |
| A capable leader |
72% |
59% |
52% |
42% |
38% |
43% |
50% |
37% |
-13% |
| Understands the problems facing Australia |
68% |
55% |
52% |
44% |
41% |
43% |
47% |
37% |
-10% |
| Visionary |
48% |
38% |
30% |
26% |
25% |
31% |
29% |
30% |
+1% |
| More honest than most politicians |
45% |
37% |
37% |
29% |
26% |
31% |
30% |
27% |
-3% |
| Trustworthy |
49% |
42% |
40% |
30% |
25% |
30% |
32% |
25% |
-7% |
Julia Gillard’s key attributes were intelligent (69%), hard-working (66%), out of touch with ordinary people (64%), arrogant (55%), superficial (55%), narrow-minded (55%), aggressive (55%) and erratic (55%). Almost all positive leader attributes for Gillard moved down and the negative attributes moved down from the last time the question was polled in January. The biggest shifts were for erratic (+15%), a capable leader (-13%), intolerant (+12), out of touch with ordinary people (+11%), narrow-minded (+10%) and understands the problems facing Australia (-10%).
Main reason for voting Liberal/National
Q. Which of the following is the main reason you would vote for the Liberal or National Party if there was an election today?
| I always vote for the Liberal or National Party |
21% |
| The Labor Party has been a poor Government |
34% |
| The Liberal and National Parties would be a good Government |
12% |
| I don’t want Julia Gillard as Prime Minister |
17% |
| The Liberal/National Parties have better policies than the Labor Party |
9% |
| I would be personally better off under a Liberal/National Government |
6% |
| Other reason |
1% |
| Don’t know |
* |
One third say they would vote Liberal/National because the Labor Party has been a poor Government. 21% say they always vote Liberal/National and 17% don’t want Julia Gillard as Prime Minister.
40% of men and 27% of women say the Labor Party has been a poor Government.
Better Prime Minister
Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?
|
5 |
14 Mar 11 |
14 Jun |
12 Sept |
12 Dec |
12 Mar 12 |
12 Jun |
10 Sep |
10 Dec |
14 Jan 13 |
11 Feb |
11 Mar |
Vote |
Vote Lib |
Vote Gre |
|
| Julia Gillard |
53% |
44% |
41% |
36% |
39% |
40% |
37% |
40% |
43% |
42% |
39% |
39% |
84% |
6% |
71% |
| Tony Abbott |
26% |
33% |
36% |
40% |
35% |
37% |
37% |
37% |
34% |
33% |
37% |
39% |
2% |
80% |
3% |
| Don’t know |
21% |
23% |
24% |
24% |
26% |
23% |
26% |
24% |
23% |
24% |
24% |
22% |
14% |
13% |
25% |
39% (no change) believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 39% (up 2%) prefer Tony Abbott.
Men prefer Tony Abbott 41%/36% and women prefer Julia Gillard 42%/37%.
Government deserves to be re-elected
Q. As of now, do you think the current Federal Labor Government of Julia Gillard deserves to be re-elected?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Yes, deserves to be re-elected |
26% |
66% |
4% |
31% |
| No, does not deserve to be re-elected |
57% |
17% |
88% |
38% |
| Don’t know |
17% |
17% |
8% |
31% |
26% think that the Labor Government deserves to be re-elected and 57% think they do not. 66% of Labor voters think they deserve to be re-elected.
64% of men and 50% of women think they don’t deserve to be re-elected.
Better Prime Minister
Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?
|
5 |
14 |
14 June |
12 Sept |
12 Dec |
12 Mar 12 |
12 |
10 Sept |
10 Dec |
14 |
11 |
Vote |
Vote Lib |
Vote Greens |
|
| Julia Gillard |
53% |
44% |
41% |
36% |
39% |
40% |
37% |
40% |
43% |
42% |
39% |
82% |
5% |
69% |
| Tony Abbott |
26% |
33% |
36% |
40% |
35% |
37% |
37% |
37% |
34% |
33% |
37% |
6% |
75% |
6% |
| Don’t know |
21% |
23% |
24% |
24% |
26% |
23% |
26% |
24% |
23% |
24% |
24% |
12% |
20% |
25% |
39% (down 3%) believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 37% (up 4%) prefer Tony Abbott.
Men prefer Tony Abbott 41%/38% and women prefer Julia Gillard 39%/33%.
Better Prime Minister
Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?
|
5 Jul 2010 |
14 Mar 2011 |
14 June |
12 Sept |
12 Dec |
12 Mar 2012 |
12 Jun |
10 Sept |
10 Dec |
14 Jan 2013 |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Julia Gillard |
53% |
44% |
41% |
36% |
39% |
40% |
37% |
40% |
43% |
42% |
89% |
5% |
84% |
| Tony Abbott |
26% |
33% |
36% |
40% |
35% |
37% |
37% |
37% |
34% |
33% |
1% |
73% |
3% |
| Don’t know |
21% |
23% |
24% |
24% |
26% |
23% |
26% |
24% |
23% |
24% |
10% |
22% |
14% |
42% (down 1%) believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 33% (down 1%) prefer Tony Abbott.
Men prefer Julia Gillard 39%/38% and women prefer Julia Gillard 46%/29%.
Leader Attributes – Julia Gillard
Q. Which of the following describe your opinion of the Prime Minister, Julia Gillard?
|
5 Jul 10 |
4 Oct 10 |
7 Feb 11 |
27 Jun 11 |
2 Apr 12 |
17 Sept 12 |
14 Jan 13 |
Change |
|
| Intelligent |
87% |
81% |
75% |
73% |
61% |
68% |
72% |
+4% |
| Hard-working |
89% |
82% |
76% |
75% |
65% |
69% |
72% |
+3% |
| A capable leader |
72% |
59% |
52% |
42% |
38% |
43% |
50% |
+7% |
| Arrogant |
37% |
39% |
44% |
48% |
53% |
46% |
47% |
+1% |
| Out of touch with ordinary people |
35% |
44% |
50% |
60% |
65% |
56% |
53% |
-3% |
| Understands the problems facing Australia |
68% |
55% |
52% |
44% |
41% |
43% |
47% |
+4% |
| Visionary |
48% |
38% |
30% |
26% |
25% |
31% |
29% |
-2% |
| Superficial |
|
|
51% |
52% |
54% |
46% |
46% |
- |
| Good in a crisis |
61% |
46% |
46% |
41% |
36% |
43% |
50% |
+7% |
| Narrow-minded |
28% |
35% |
43% |
46% |
53% |
46% |
45% |
-1% |
| More honest than most politicians |
45% |
37% |
37% |
29% |
26% |
31% |
30% |
-1% |
| Trustworthy |
49% |
42% |
40% |
30% |
25% |
30% |
32% |
+2% |
| Intolerant |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
37% |
37% |
- |
| Aggressive |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
42% |
46% |
+4% |
| Erratic |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
43% |
40% |
-3% |
Gillard’s key attributes were hard-working (72%), intelligent (72%), out of touch with ordinary people (53%), a capable leader (50%) and good in a crisis (50%). Almost all positive leader attributes for Gillard moved up from the last time the question was polled in September 2012. The biggest shifts on the positive attributes were on a capable leader (+7%) and good in a crisis (+7%).
Leader attributes – comparisons
|
Gillard |
Abbott |
Difference |
|
| Intelligent |
72% |
64% |
+8% |
| Hard-working |
72% |
70% |
+2% |
| A capable leader |
50% |
43% |
+7% |
| Arrogant |
47% |
61% |
-14% |
| Out of touch with ordinary people |
53% |
54% |
-1% |
| Understands the problems facing Australia |
47% |
47% |
- |
| Visionary |
29% |
28% |
+1% |
| Superficial |
46% |
48% |
-2% |
| Good in a crisis |
50% |
39% |
+11% |
| Narrow-minded |
45% |
56% |
-11% |
| More honest than most politicians |
30% |
29% |
+1% |
| Trustworthy |
32% |
33% |
-1% |
| Intolerant |
37% |
49% |
-12% |
| Aggressive |
46% |
55% |
-9% |
| Erratic |
40% |
51% |
-11% |
Compared to Tony Abbott, Julia Gillard is seen as more likely to be considered good in a crisis (+11%), intelligent (+8%) and a capable leader (+7%).
Abbott is regarded by significantly more respondents to be arrogant (+14%), narrow minded (+11%), intolerant (+12%) and erratic (+11%).
The past year – politicians
Q. Has it been a good or bad year for each of the following politicians?
|
Total good (Dec 10) |
Total bad (Dec 10) |
Total good (Dec 11) |
Total bad (Dec 11) |
Total good (Dec 12) |
Total bad (Dec 12) |
Very good |
Good |
Neither good nor |
Bad |
Very bad |
Don’t know |
|
| Julia Gillard |
49% |
25% |
21% |
57% |
19% |
57% |
6% |
13% |
18% |
29% |
28% |
4% |
| Tony Abbott |
30% |
33% |
21% |
38% |
15% |
52% |
4% |
11% |
29% |
31% |
21% |
5% |
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|||||
|
Total good |
Total bad |
Total good |
Total bad |
Total good |
Total bad |
Total good |
Total bad |
|
| Julia Gillard |
19% |
57% |
43% |
32% |
5% |
82% |
29% |
48% |
| Tony Abbott |
15% |
52% |
5% |
75% |
27% |
31% |
4% |
78% |
19% thought Julia Gillard had a good year in 2012 and 15% thought Tony Abbott had a good year. 2012 was considered similar to 2011 for Julia Gillard (going from net -36 to net -38) but a substantially worse year for Tony Abbott (going from net -17 to net -37).
Among their own voters 43% (up 2%) thought Julia Gillard had a good year and 27% (down 12%) thought Tony Abbott has had a good year.
Essential Report
Two Party Preferred: 20 May 2013
In this week's report:
3Q: Latest episodes
-
Essential Report with EMC’s Peter Lewis and Jackie Woods
Comments19 Sep 2012Lewis and Woods talk through this week’s polling numbers: voting intention, leader attributes, drug laws in Australia, and more…
-
Are we ready for the grey revolution?
Comments12 Sep 2012Ken Morrison says our cities need to be transformed for our ageing population – and it’s not solely about nursing homes.
-
Ships, trains and submarines — can we build them here?
Comments11 Sep 2012Tim Ayres wishes Clive Palmer and other mining giants would give local manufacturers a go instead of heading overseas.
-
Do we undervalue our public sector innovations?
Comments11 Sep 2012Nadine Flood questions whether governments take our science and other publicly funded breakthroughs for granted.
Essential Tags
Recent Comments
- Workers Care About Kids At Risk on Would You Ask Your Grandmother To Live On $35 A Day?
- Morgan on Federal politics – voting intention
- Krusha on Time for Activities
- Jonathan Tasini on We Can’t Eat Austerity
- Clarkejeremy3 on We Can’t Eat Austerity
