Federal politics – voting intention

Sep 2, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,802 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 5/8/14

2 weeks ago

19/8/14

Last week

26/8/14

This week

2/9/14

Liberal

 

39%

37%

36%

36%

National

2%

3%

3%

4%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

41%

40%

39%

40%

Labor

33.4%

39%

38%

37%

38%

Greens

8.6%

9%

9%

10%

9%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

4%

6%

6%

5%

Other/Independent

6.9%

7%

7%

8%

8%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 5/8/14

2 weeks ago

19/8/14

Last week

26/8/14

This week

2/9/14

Liberal National

53.5%

49%

48%

48%

48%

Labor

46.5%

51%

52%

52%

52%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.


 

PUP and the Greens

Jul 22, 2014

Q. In the previous Parliament, the Greens held the balance of power. Would you have more confidence in a Parliament where the Greens held the balance of power or where the Palmer United Party held the balance of power?

 

Total

 

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

More confidence in the Greens holding the balance

27%

38%

14%

76%

13%

More confidence in the Palmer United Party holding the balance

22%

16%

26%

5%

49%

No difference

34%

28%

47%

12%

27%

Don’t know

17%

18%

13%

8%

11%

34% think it makes no difference whether the Greens or PUP hold the balance of power in the Senate. 27% would have more confidence in the Greens holding the balance of power and 22% have more confidence in PUP.

Liberal/National voters were more likely to think it makes no difference (47%) while 38% of Labor voters have more confidence in the Greens holding the balance.

Greens holding balance of power

Jun 24, 2014

Q. Do you think the Greens holding the balance of power in the Senate has been good or bad for Australia? 

 

Total

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

Total good

28%

48%

6%

75%

28%

Total bad

37%

18%

68%

-

38%

Very good

12%

24%

1%

42%

6%

Good

16%

24%

5%

33%

22%

Neither good nor bad

23%

24%

19%

21%

27%

Bad

15%

12%

22%

-

20%

Very bad

22%

6%

46%

-

18%

Don’t know

11%

12%

6%

4%

7%

28% think that the Greens holding the balance of power in the Senate has been good for Australia and 37% think it has been bad.

75% of Greens voters and 48% of Labor voters think it has been good for Australia while 68% of Liberal/National voters think it has been bad.

Federal politics – voting intention

Jun 11, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,916 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 13/5/14

2 weeks ago

27/05/14

Last week

3/6/14

This week

11/6/14

Liberal

 

38%

37%

35%

35%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

40%

40%

38%

37%

Labor

33.4%

39%

39%

39%

40%

Greens

8.6%

9%

9%

10%

9%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

5%

5%

6%

6%

Other/Independent

6.9%

8%

7%

7%

8%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 13/5/14

2 weeks ago

27/05/14

Last week

3/6/14

This week

11/6/14

Liberal National

53.5%

48%

48%

47%

46%

Labor

46.5%

52%

52%

53%

54%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Jun 3, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,936 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 6/5/14

2 weeks ago

20/05/14

Last week

27/5/14

This week

3/6/14

Liberal

 

38%

38%

37%

35%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

40%

40%

40%

38%

Labor

33.4%

38%

40%

39%

39%

Greens

8.6%

10%

8%

9%

10%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

5%

5%

5%

6%

Other/Independent

6.9%

8%

7%

7%

7%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 6/5/14

2 weeks ago

20/05/14

Last week

27/5/14

This week

3/6/14

Liberal National

53.5%

48%

48%

48%

47%

Labor

46.5%

52%

52%

52%

53%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

May 27, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,895 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 29/4/14

2 weeks ago

13/05/14

Last week

20/5/14

This week

27/05/14

Liberal

 

38%

38%

38%

37%

National

2%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

40%

40%

40%

40%

Labor

33.4%

38%

39%

40%

39%

Greens

8.6%

10%

9%

8%

9%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

5%

5%

5%

5%

Other/Independent

6.9%

6%

8%

7%

7%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 29/4/14

2 weeks ago

13/05/14

Last week

20/5/14

This week

27/05/14

Liberal National

53.5%

48%

48%

48%

48%

Labor

46.5%

52%

52%

52%

52%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

May 20, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,855 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 22/4/14

2 weeks ago

06/05/14

Last week

12/5/14

This week

19/05/14

Liberal

 

39%

38%

38%

38%

National

2%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

41%

40%

40%

40%

Labor

33.4%

37%

38%

39%

40%

Greens

8.6%

11%

10%

9%

8%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

5%

5%

5%

5%%

Other/Independent

6.9%

6%

8%

8%

7%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 8/4/14

2 weeks ago

06/05/14

Last week

12/5/14

This week

19/05/14

Liberal National

53.5%

49%

48%

48%

48%

Labor

46.5%

51%

52%

52%

52%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

May 13, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,883 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago

15/4/14

2 weeks ago

29/4/14

 

Last week

06/5/14

 

This week

12/5/14

Liberal

 

40%

38%

38%

38%

National

3%

2%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

42%

40%

40%

40%

Labor

33.4%

37%

38%

38%

39%

Greens

8.6%

10%

10%

10%

9%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

4%

5%

5%

5%

Other/Independent

6.9%

7%

6%

8%

8%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago

15/4/14

2 weeks ago

29/4/14

 

Last week

06/5/14

 

This week

12/5/14

Liberal National

53.5%

50%

48%

48%

48%

Labor

46.5%

50%

52%

52%

52%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

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