The Essential Report Archive Read the latest report

  • Sep, 2014

    , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,756 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 26/8/14

    2 weeks ago

    9/9/14

    Last week

    16/9/14

    This week

    23/9/14

    Liberal

     

    36%

    36%

    35%

    36%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Liberal/National

    45.6%

    39%

    39%

    39%

    39%

    Labor

    33.4%

    37%

    38%

    38%

    39%

    Greens

    8.6%

    10%

    10%

    11%

    10%

    Palmer United Party

    5.5%

    6%

    4%

    4%

    4%

    Other/Independent

    6.9%

    8%

    9%

    9%

    8%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 26/8/14

    2 weeks ago

    9/9/14

    Last week

    16/9/14

    This week

    23/9/14

    Liberal National

    53.5%

    48%

    48%

    47%

    47%

    Labor

    46.5%

    52%

    52%

    53%

    53%

    NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

  • Sep, 2014

    , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,802 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 5/8/14

    2 weeks ago

    19/8/14

    Last week

    26/8/14

    This week

    2/9/14

    Liberal

     

    39%

    37%

    36%

    36%

    National

    2%

    3%

    3%

    4%

    Total Liberal/National

    45.6%

    41%

    40%

    39%

    40%

    Labor

    33.4%

    39%

    38%

    37%

    38%

    Greens

    8.6%

    9%

    9%

    10%

    9%

    Palmer United Party

    5.5%

    4%

    6%

    6%

    5%

    Other/Independent

    6.9%

    7%

    7%

    8%

    8%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 5/8/14

    2 weeks ago

    19/8/14

    Last week

    26/8/14

    This week

    2/9/14

    Liberal National

    53.5%

    49%

    48%

    48%

    48%

    Labor

    46.5%

    51%

    52%

    52%

    52%

    NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.


     

  • Jul, 2014

    , ,

    PUP and the Greens

    Q. In the previous Parliament, the Greens held the balance of power. Would you have more confidence in a Parliament where the Greens held the balance of power or where the Palmer United Party held the balance of power?

     

    Total

     

     

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Vote other

    More confidence in the Greens holding the balance

    27%

    38%

    14%

    76%

    13%

    More confidence in the Palmer United Party holding the balance

    22%

    16%

    26%

    5%

    49%

    No difference

    34%

    28%

    47%

    12%

    27%

    Don’t know

    17%

    18%

    13%

    8%

    11%

    34% think it makes no difference whether the Greens or PUP hold the balance of power in the Senate. 27% would have more confidence in the Greens holding the balance of power and 22% have more confidence in PUP.

    Liberal/National voters were more likely to think it makes no difference (47%) while 38% of Labor voters have more confidence in the Greens holding the balance.

  • Jun, 2014

    ,

    Greens holding balance of power

    Q. Do you think the Greens holding the balance of power in the Senate has been good or bad for Australia? 

     

    Total

     

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Vote other

    Total good

    28%

    48%

    6%

    75%

    28%

    Total bad

    37%

    18%

    68%

    38%

    Very good

    12%

    24%

    1%

    42%

    6%

    Good

    16%

    24%

    5%

    33%

    22%

    Neither good nor bad

    23%

    24%

    19%

    21%

    27%

    Bad

    15%

    12%

    22%

    20%

    Very bad

    22%

    6%

    46%

    18%

    Don’t know

    11%

    12%

    6%

    4%

    7%

    28% think that the Greens holding the balance of power in the Senate has been good for Australia and 37% think it has been bad.

    75% of Greens voters and 48% of Labor voters think it has been good for Australia while 68% of Liberal/National voters think it has been bad.

  • Jun, 2014

    , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,916 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 13/5/14

    2 weeks ago

    27/05/14

    Last week

    3/6/14

    This week

    11/6/14

    Liberal

     

    38%

    37%

    35%

    35%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    45.6%

    40%

    40%

    38%

    37%

    Labor

    33.4%

    39%

    39%

    39%

    40%

    Greens

    8.6%

    9%

    9%

    10%

    9%

    Palmer United Party

    5.5%

    5%

    5%

    6%

    6%

    Other/Independent

    6.9%

    8%

    7%

    7%

    8%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 13/5/14

    2 weeks ago

    27/05/14

    Last week

    3/6/14

    This week

    11/6/14

    Liberal National

    53.5%

    48%

    48%

    47%

    46%

    Labor

    46.5%

    52%

    52%

    53%

    54%

    NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

  • Jun, 2014

    , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,936 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 6/5/14

    2 weeks ago

    20/05/14

    Last week

    27/5/14

    This week

    3/6/14

    Liberal

     

    38%

    38%

    37%

    35%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    45.6%

    40%

    40%

    40%

    38%

    Labor

    33.4%

    38%

    40%

    39%

    39%

    Greens

    8.6%

    10%

    8%

    9%

    10%

    Palmer United Party

    5.5%

    5%

    5%

    5%

    6%

    Other/Independent

    6.9%

    8%

    7%

    7%

    7%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 6/5/14

    2 weeks ago

    20/05/14

    Last week

    27/5/14

    This week

    3/6/14

    Liberal National

    53.5%

    48%

    48%

    48%

    47%

    Labor

    46.5%

    52%

    52%

    52%

    53%

    NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

  • May, 2014

    , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,895 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 29/4/14

    2 weeks ago

    13/05/14

    Last week

    20/5/14

    This week

    27/05/14

    Liberal

     

    38%

    38%

    38%

    37%

    National

    2%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    45.6%

    40%

    40%

    40%

    40%

    Labor

    33.4%

    38%

    39%

    40%

    39%

    Greens

    8.6%

    10%

    9%

    8%

    9%

    Palmer United Party

    5.5%

    5%

    5%

    5%

    5%

    Other/Independent

    6.9%

    6%

    8%

    7%

    7%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 29/4/14

    2 weeks ago

    13/05/14

    Last week

    20/5/14

    This week

    27/05/14

    Liberal National

    53.5%

    48%

    48%

    48%

    48%

    Labor

    46.5%

    52%

    52%

    52%

    52%

    NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

  • May, 2014

    , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,855 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 22/4/14

    2 weeks ago

    06/05/14

    Last week

    12/5/14

    This week

    19/05/14

    Liberal

     

    39%

    38%

    38%

    38%

    National

    2%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    45.6%

    41%

    40%

    40%

    40%

    Labor

    33.4%

    37%

    38%

    39%

    40%

    Greens

    8.6%

    11%

    10%

    9%

    8%

    Palmer United Party

    5.5%

    5%

    5%

    5%

    5%%

    Other/Independent

    6.9%

    6%

    8%

    8%

    7%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 8/4/14

    2 weeks ago

    06/05/14

    Last week

    12/5/14

    This week

    19/05/14

    Liberal National

    53.5%

    49%

    48%

    48%

    48%

    Labor

    46.5%

    51%

    52%

    52%

    52%

    NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Error: