Federal politics – voting intention

Aug 26, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,823 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 29/7/14

2 weeks ago

12/8/14

Last week

19/8/14

This week

26/8/14

Liberal

 

38%

38%

37%

36%

National

2%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

41%

41%

40%

39%

Labor

33.4%

38%

39%

38%

37%

Greens

8.6%

9%

8%

9%

10%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

5%

5%

6%

6%

Other/Independent

6.9%

7%

7%

7%

8%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 29/7/14

2 weeks ago

12/8/14

Last week

19/8/14

This week

26/8/14

Liberal National

53.5%

49%

49%

48%

48%

Labor

46.5%

51%

51%

52%

52%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Apr 22, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,842 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 25/3/14

2 weeks ago

8/4/14

Last week

15/4/14

This week

22/4/14

Liberal

 

41%

40%

40%

39%

National

3%

3%

3%

2%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

44%

42%

42%

41%

Labor

33.4%

37%

38%

37%

37%

Greens

8.6%

9%

9%

10%

11%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

4%

3%

4%

5%

Other/Independent

6.9%

7%

8%

7%

6%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 25/3/14

2 weeks ago

8/4/14

Last week

15/4/14

This week

22/4/14

Liberal National

53.5%

51%

49%

50%

49%

Labor

46.5%

49%

51%

50%

51%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Apr 1, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,867 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 4/3/14

2 weeks ago

18/3/14

Last week

25/3/14

This week

1/4/14

Liberal

 

41%

40%

41%

40%

National

3%

3%

3%

2%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

44%

43%

44%

42%

Labor

33.4%

38%

36%

37%

39%

Greens

8.6%

8%

9%

9%

9%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

3%

4%

4%

3%

Other/Independent

6.9%

7%

8%

7%

7%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 4/3/14

2 weeks ago

18/3/14

Last week

25/3/14

This week

1/4/14

Liberal National

53.5%

51%

51%

51%

49%

Labor

46.5%

49%

49%

49%

51%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.


 

Involvement in politics

Jul 15, 2013

Q. Thinking about Federal politics and the election, which of the following have you personally done in the last week?

 

 

Total

 

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Seen any TV advertising by political parties

43%

46%

44%

38%

Received printed material from candidates.

27%

26%

27%

35%

Read about Federal politics in a newspaper

41%

43%

43%

39%

Watched Federal politicians on TV

56%

63%

54%

57%

Listened to Federal politicians on the radio

22%

21%

22%

32%

Listened to commentators talking about Federal politics on the radio

30%

32%

29%

34%

Watched commentators talking about Federal politics on the TV

48%

54%

47%

47%

Read anything about Federal politics on the internet

39%

47%

33%

49%

Discussed Federal politics and the election with friends or family

50%

56%

46%

60%

TV was the most common way for respondents to engage with politics over the past week. 56% said they had watched Federal politicians on TV and 48% had watched commentators talking about Federal politics on TV.

Labor voters were more likely to watch politicians (63%) or commentators (54%) on TV and also more likely to use the internet to read about politics (47%).

There were some substantial differences by age group – 30% of respondents aged under 35 read about politics in a newspaper compared to 57% of those aged 55+ and 42% of aged under 35 watched politicians on TV compared to 71% of aged 55+.

Federal politics – voting intention

Jul 8, 2013

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,778 respondent

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

 

4 weeks ago

11/6/13

2 weeks ago

24/6/13

Last week

1/7/13

This week

8/7/13

Liberal

 

44%

44%

43%

42%

National

3%

3%

3%

4%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

47%

47%

46%

46%

Labor

38.0%

36%

34%

36%

38%

Greens

11.8%

8%

8%

9%

8%

Other/Independent

6.6%

9%

11%

9%

7%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

21 Aug 10

 

4 weeks ago

11/6/13

2 weeks ago

24/6/13

Last week

1/7/13

This week

8/7/13

Liberal National

49.9%

54%

55%

53%

52%

Labor

50.1%

46%

45%

47%

48%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Oct 29, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,792 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

1/10/12

2 weeks ago

15/10/12

Last week

22/10/12

This week

29/10/12

Liberal

44%

44%

44%

44%

National

3%

3%

3%

4%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

47%

47%

47%

48%

Labor

38.0%

36%

36%

36%

36%

Greens

11.8%

9%

9%

9%

9%

Other/Independent

6.6%

7%

8%

7%

7%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

53%

53%

53%

54%

Labor

50.1%

47%

47%

47%

46%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

Federal politics – voting intention

Jul 23, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,854 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

25/6/12

2 weeks ago

9/7/12

Last week

16/7/12

This week

23/7/12

Liberal

46%

46%

46%

45%

National

3%

4%

3%

4%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

49%

49%

49%

49%

Labor

38.0%

33%

31%

31%

33%

Greens

11.8%

10%

11%

10%

10%

Other/Independent

6.6%

8%

9%

9%

9%

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

56%

56%

57%

56%

Labor

50.1%

44%

44%

43%

44%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. + or – 2%.

Federal politics – voting intention

Jun 18, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,842 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

21/5/12

2 weeks ago

4/6/12

Last week

12/6/12

This week

18/6/12

Liberal

46%

47%

46%

46%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

49%

50%

49%

49%

Labor

38.0%

33%

33%

32%

33%

Greens

11.8%

10%

10%

10%

10%

Other/Independent

6.6%

8%

7%

9%

8%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

56%

56%

56%

56%

Labor

50.1%

44%

44%

44%

44%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. + or – 2%.

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