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  • May, 2021

    Views towards early federal election

    Q. Some have suggested that the Prime Minister might call an early election later in 2021. It is not due until 2022.

    Which of the following is closer to your view?

      May’21 Feb’21
     
    An early federal election in 2021 will be good for Australia, because a lot has changed since the last election 39% 42%
    It would just be opportunism for the Prime Minister to call an early election, and the federal election should stay in 2022 61% 58%
    Base (n) 1,100 1,092

     

    Total Gender Age Group Federal Voting Intention
      Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ Labor TOTAL: Coalition Greens TOTAL: Other
    An early federal election in 2021 will be good for Australia, because a lot has changed since the last election 39% 39% 39% 47% 39% 31% 41% 37% 36% 43%
    It would just be opportunism for the Prime Minister to call an early election, and the federal election should stay in 2022 61% 61% 61% 53% 61% 69% 59% 63% 64% 57%
    Base (n) 1,100 539 561 341 379 380 369 410 105 112
    • There is no significant difference in views towards an early federal election compared to when this question was asked in February.
    • Most (61%) still think it would just be opportunism for the Prime Minister to call an early election, and the federal election should stay in 2022. 39% think an early federal election in 2021 will be good for Australia, because a lot has changed since the last election.
  • Feb, 2021

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    Federal Voting Intention

    Q. If a Federal election was held tomorrow, to which party would you give your first preference vote in the House of Representatives (Lower House)?

    [If don’t know] Well which party are you currently leaning towards?

    Q       This week

    01/02

    Two weeks ago

    18/01

    14/12 30/11 16/11 02/11 19/10
    Liberal / Liberal Nationals / Country Liberals 35% 37% 34% 37% 36% 36% 36%
    Nationals 2% 3% 3% 4% 3% 3% 3%
    Total: Coalition 37% 40% 37% 41% 38% 39% 39%
    Labor 35% 33% 35% 33% 35% 35% 35%
    Greens 10% 10% 8% 8% 9% 9% 9%
    Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3%
    Other/Independent 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 7%
    Undecided 8% 7% 9% 8% 7% 9% 8%
     
    2 Party Preferred (2PP+)
    TOTAL: Coalition 44% 48% 45% 49% 45% 44% 48%
    Labor 47% 45% 46% 43% 47% 46% 45%
    Undecided 8% 7% 9% 8% 7% 9% 8%

     

  • Feb, 2021

    Views towards early federal election

    Q. Some have suggested that the Prime Minister might call an early election later in 2021. It is not due until 2022.

    Which of the following is closer to your view?

      Total Gender Age Group Federal Voting Intention
      Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ Labor TOTAL: Coalition Greens TOTAL: Other
    An early federal election in 2021 will be good for Australia, because a lot has changed since the last election 42% 42% 43% 50% 46% 31% 47% 39% 50% 41%
    It would just be opportunism for the Prime Minister to call an early election, and the federal election should stay in 2022 58% 58% 57% 50% 54% 69% 53% 61% 50% 59%
    Base (n) 1,092 532 560 318 391 383 361 400 97 126
    • More Australians think it would just be opportunism for the Prime Minister to call an early election, and the federal election should stay in 2022 (58%), than those who think an early federal election in 2021 will be good for Australia, because a lot has changed since the last election (42%).
    • Most of those over 55 think the federal election should stay in 2022 (69%), compared to just over half of those 35-54 (54%) and half (50%) of those 18-34.
    • The majority of Coalition voters (61%) and Labor voters (53%) would prefer to keep the election for the next scheduled date in 2022.
  • Apr, 2016

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    Federal voting intention

    If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

     
    Total
     
    Last week
    5/4/16
    2 weeks ago
    29/3/16
    4 weeks ago
    15/3/16
     
    Election 7 Sep 13
    Liberal 39% 39% 39% 39%
    National 3% 3% 3% 3%
    Total Liberal/National 42%   42% 43% 42%   45.6%
    Labor 35%   37% 38% 36%   33.4%
    Greens 11% 10% 9% 11% 8.6%
    Palmer United Party 1% 1% 1% 1% 5.5%
    Other/Independent 10% 10% 10% 9% 6.9%
    2 party preferred
    Liberal National 50% 50% 50% 50% 53.5%
    Labor 50% 50% 50% 50% 46.5%

    NB.  Sample = 1,792. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

  • Dec, 2014

    Next election

    Q. Which party do you think is most likely to win the next Federal election due in 2016? 

     

    Total

     

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Vote other

    Labor Party

    46%

    84%

    16%

    66%

    40%

    Liberal/National Party

    27%

    2%

    64%

    7%

    16%

    Can’t say

    27%

    14%

    20%

    27%

    44%

    46% think the Labor Party is most likely to win the next election and 27% think the Liberal/National Party is most likely to win. 27% could not give an opinion.

    84% of Labor voters think the Labor Party is most likely to win and 64% of Liberal/National voters think the Liberal/National Party will win.

  • Oct, 2014

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to? 

    Sample size = 1,796 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 9/9/14

    2 weeks ago

    23/9/14

    Last week

    30/9/14

    This week

    7/10/14

    Liberal

     

    36%

    36%

    37%

    38%

    National

    3%

    3%

    2%

    2%

    Total Liberal/National

    45.6%

    39%

    39%

    40%

    40%

    Labor

    33.4%

    38%

    39%

    39%

    39%

    Greens

    8.6%

    10%

    10%

    10%

    10%

    Palmer United Party

    5.5%

    4%

    4%

    4%

    4%

    Other/Independent

    6.9%

    9%

    8%

    8%

    7%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 9/9/14

    2 weeks ago

    23/9/14

    Last week

    30/9/14

    This week

    7/10/14

    Liberal National

    53.5%

    48%

    47%

    48%

    48%

    Labor

    46.5%

    52%

    53%

    52%

    52%

    NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

  • Sep, 2014

    ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

     Sample size = 1,775 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 12/8/14

    2 weeks ago

    26/8/14

    Last week

    2/9/14

    This week

    9/9/14

    Liberal

     

    38%

    36%

    36%

    36%

    National

    3%

    3%

    4%

    3%

    Total Liberal/National

    45.6%

    41%

    39%

    40%

    39%

    Labor

    33.4%

    39%

    37%

    38%

    38%

    Greens

    8.6%

    8%

    10%

    9%

    10%

    Palmer United Party

    5.5%

    5%

    6%

    5%

    4%

    Other/Independent

    6.9%

    7%

    8%

    8%

    9%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 12/8/14

    2 weeks ago

    26/8/14

    Last week

    2/9/14

    This week

    9/9/14

    Liberal National

    53.5%

    49%

    48%

    48%

    48%

    Labor

    46.5%

    51%

    52%

    52%

    52%

    NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

  • Apr, 2014

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    Most important election issues

    Q.  Which are the three most important issues in deciding how you would vote at a Federal election?

     

    Total

    22 Apr 14

     

    Vote ALP

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Grn

    Vote other

     

    23 Jul 13

    30 Jul 12

    6 June 11

    25 Jan 10

    Management of the economy

    54%

    43%

    75%

    22%

    44%

    45%

    64%

    61%

    63%

    Ensuring a quality education for all children

    27%

    35%

    18%

    38%

    20%

    25%

    26%

    26%

    23%

    Ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system

    50%

    54%

    43%

    62%

    52%

    42%

    47%

    49%

    48%

    Protecting the environment

    13%

    12%

    7%

    42%

    14%

    12%

    11%

    15%

    16%

    A fair industrial relations system

    12%

    17%

    11%

    8%

    12%

    10%

    12%

    8%

    na

    Political leadership

    15%

    11%

    24%

    6%

    13%

    21%

    25%

    17%

    23%

    Addressing climate change

    10%

    13%

    4%

    28%

    9%

    11%

    9%

    15%

    16%

    Controlling interest rates

    9%

    9%

    11%

    2%

    7%

    13%

    9%

    13%

    15%

    Australian jobs and protection of local industries

    37%

    39%

    37%

    18%

    37%

    39%

    41%

    32%

    33%

    Ensuring a quality water supply

    4%

    5%

    3%

    3%

    5%

    3%

    3%

    5%

    12%

    Housing affordability

    17%

    18%

    16%

    13%

    19%

    17%

    13%

    16%

    14%

    Ensuring a fair taxation system

    20%

    19%

    20%

    9%

    23%

    20%

    18%

    17%

    14%

    Security and the war on terrorism

    5%

    3%

    8%

    3%

    5%

    8%

    5%

    8%

    9%

    Treatment of asylum seekers

    8%

    5%

    5%

    32%

    9%

    14%

    10%

    5%

    na

    Managing population growth

    9%

    6%

    10%

    8%

    16%

    9%

    8%

    12%

    na

    54% of people surveyed rated management of the economy as one of their three most important issues, followed by 50% ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system, 37% Australian jobs and protection of local industries and 27% ensuring a quality education for all children.

    Main changes since this question was asked last July – management of the economy up 9%, ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system up 8%, political leadership down 6% and treatment of asylum seekers down 6%.

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