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  • Aug, 2021

    Views towards re-electing the federal Coalition government

    Q. Which is closer to your own view about the federal Coalition government?

      Total Gender Age Group Federal Voting Intention
    Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ Labor TOTAL: Coalition Greens TOTAL: Other
    Deserves to be re-elected 36% 43% 29% 26% 35% 45% 14% 71% 18% 25%
    Time to give someone else a go 41% 40% 42% 50% 36% 38% 65% 14% 69% 46%
    Unsure 23% 17% 29% 24% 29% 17% 21% 16% 13% 29%
    Base (n) 1,100 539 561 341 374 385 388 405 90 119

     

      State
    NSW VIC QLD SA WA
    Deserves to be re-elected 34% 37% 35% 40% 37%
    Time to give someone else a go 45% 37% 42% 39% 37%
    Unsure 21% 26% 23% 21% 25%
    Base (n) 349 276 219 89 111
    • When thinking about whether the current government should be re-elected, 41% think it’s time to give someone else a go, compared to 36% who think the federal Coalition government deserves to be re-elected. 23% are unsure.
    • Those most likely to think the current government deserves to be re-elected include men (43%), those over 55 (45%), and Coalition voters (71%).
    • People aged 18-34 (50%), Labor voters (65%), and Greens voters (69%) are the most likely to think it’s time to give someone else a go.
    • NSW residents are more likely to think it’s time to give someone else a go than Victorians (45% to 37% respectively).
  • Jul, 2015

    Early election

    Q. Do you expect the Coalition Government will run its full term until later in 2016 when the next Federal election is due or will they call an early election?

    Total

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Vote Other

    Will run full term

    48%

    34%

    72%

    35%

    43%

    Will call early election

    25%

    41%

    11%

    40%

    27%

    Don’t know

    27%

    25%

    17%

    25%

    30%

    48% think the Government will run its full term and 25% think the Government will call an early election.

    A majority of 72% of Liberal/National voters think the Government will run its full term while Labor voters (41%) and Greens voters (40%) tend to think there will be an early election.

  • Apr, 2014

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    Most important election issues

    Q.  Which are the three most important issues in deciding how you would vote at a Federal election?

     

    Total

    22 Apr 14

     

    Vote ALP

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Grn

    Vote other

     

    23 Jul 13

    30 Jul 12

    6 June 11

    25 Jan 10

    Management of the economy

    54%

    43%

    75%

    22%

    44%

    45%

    64%

    61%

    63%

    Ensuring a quality education for all children

    27%

    35%

    18%

    38%

    20%

    25%

    26%

    26%

    23%

    Ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system

    50%

    54%

    43%

    62%

    52%

    42%

    47%

    49%

    48%

    Protecting the environment

    13%

    12%

    7%

    42%

    14%

    12%

    11%

    15%

    16%

    A fair industrial relations system

    12%

    17%

    11%

    8%

    12%

    10%

    12%

    8%

    na

    Political leadership

    15%

    11%

    24%

    6%

    13%

    21%

    25%

    17%

    23%

    Addressing climate change

    10%

    13%

    4%

    28%

    9%

    11%

    9%

    15%

    16%

    Controlling interest rates

    9%

    9%

    11%

    2%

    7%

    13%

    9%

    13%

    15%

    Australian jobs and protection of local industries

    37%

    39%

    37%

    18%

    37%

    39%

    41%

    32%

    33%

    Ensuring a quality water supply

    4%

    5%

    3%

    3%

    5%

    3%

    3%

    5%

    12%

    Housing affordability

    17%

    18%

    16%

    13%

    19%

    17%

    13%

    16%

    14%

    Ensuring a fair taxation system

    20%

    19%

    20%

    9%

    23%

    20%

    18%

    17%

    14%

    Security and the war on terrorism

    5%

    3%

    8%

    3%

    5%

    8%

    5%

    8%

    9%

    Treatment of asylum seekers

    8%

    5%

    5%

    32%

    9%

    14%

    10%

    5%

    na

    Managing population growth

    9%

    6%

    10%

    8%

    16%

    9%

    8%

    12%

    na

    54% of people surveyed rated management of the economy as one of their three most important issues, followed by 50% ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system, 37% Australian jobs and protection of local industries and 27% ensuring a quality education for all children.

    Main changes since this question was asked last July – management of the economy up 9%, ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system up 8%, political leadership down 6% and treatment of asylum seekers down 6%.

  • Oct, 2012

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,792 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    1/10/12

    2 weeks ago

    15/10/12

    Last week

    22/10/12

    This week

    29/10/12

    Liberal

    44%

    44%

    44%

    44%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    4%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    47%

    47%

    47%

    48%

    Labor

    38.0%

    36%

    36%

    36%

    36%

    Greens

    11.8%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    7%

    8%

    7%

    7%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    53%

    53%

    53%

    54%

    Labor

    50.1%

    47%

    47%

    47%

    46%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

  • Aug, 2012

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    Better Prime Minister

    Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

     

    5 Jul 2010

    14 Mar 2011

    14 June

    12 Sept

    12 Dec

    12 Mar 2012

    12 Jun

    16 Jul

    Total 13 Aug

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Julia Gillard

    53%

    44%

    41%

    36%

    39%

    40%

    37%

    37%

    36%

    78%

    4%

    78%

    Tony Abbott

    26%

    33%

    36%

    40%

    35%

    37%

    37%

    38%

    38%

    8%

    77%

    4%

    Don’t know

    21%

    23%

    24%

    24%

    26%

    23%

    26%

    26%

    26%

    13%

    18%

    18%

    36% (down 1%) believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 38% (no change) prefer Tony Abbott.

    Men prefer Tony Abbott 42%/33% and women prefer Julia Gillard 39%/35%.

  • May, 2012

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,884 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    30/4/12

    2 weeks ago

    14/5/12

    Last week

    21/5/12

    This week

    28/5/12

    Liberal

    46%

    47%

    46%

    47%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    50%

    50%

    49%

    50%

    Labor

    38.0%

    31%

    30%

    33%

    33%

    Greens

    11.8%

    11%

    11%

    10%

    10%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    9%

    9%

    8%

    7

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    57%

    57%

    56%

    57%

    Labor

    50.1%

    43%

    43%

    44%

    43%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. + or – 2%.

    Comments »

  • Apr, 2012

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    Next Election

    Q. Do you think the Labor Government should run its full term until 2013 when the next Federal election is due or should a new election be held now?

     

    5 Sept 11

    5 Dec 11

    30 Jan 12

    5 Mar 12

    Total

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Should run to 2013

    40%

    47%

    48%

    46%

    48%

    87%

    21%

    74%

    Should hold election now

    48%

    41%

    41%

    44%

    42%

    7%

    75%

    20%

    Don’t know

    12%

    12%

    10%

    10%

    10%

    5%

    5%

    6%

     

    48% think the Labor Government should run its full term until the 2013 election and 42% think an election should be held now.

    10% don’t know.

    Opinions have shifted a little toward having an election now since this question was polled in March 2012.

    Comments »

  • Mar, 2012

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    Next Election

    Q. Do you think the Labor Government should run its full term until 2013 when the next Federal election is due or should a new election be held now?

     

    5 Sept 11

    5 Dec 11

    30 Jan 12

    Total

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Should run to 2013

    40%

    47%

    48%

    46%

    90%

    17%

    80%

    Should hold election now

    48%

    41%

    41%

    44%

    7%

    77%

    12%

    Don’t know

    12%

    12%

    10%

    10%

    4%

    5%

    8%

    46% think the Labor Government should run its full term until the 2013 election and 44% think an election should be held now.

    Opinions have shifted a little toward having an election now since this question was polled in January.

    Comments »

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