Party trust to handle issues

Feb 11, 2014

Q.  Which party would you trust most to handle the following issues?

 

Labor

Liberal

Greens

Don’t know

 

Difference 11 Feb 14

Difference 19 Nov 13

Management of the economy

27%

46%

2%

25%

-19

-26

Ensuring a quality education for all children

39%

32%

5%

25%

+7

+2

Ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system

35%

33%

6%

26%

+2

-1

Protecting the environment

17%

22%

37%

23%

+15

+14

A fair industrial relations system

37%

32%

3%

28%

+5

+2

Political leadership

26%

39%

4%

31%

-13

-23

Addressing climate change

20%

25%

28%

27%

+3

+5

Controlling interest rates

25%

42%

3%

30%

-17

-21

Australian jobs and protection of local industries

34%

32%

4%

30%

+2

-7

Ensuring a quality water supply

20%

30%

21%

29%

-10

-13

Housing affordability

28%

30%

5%

37%

-2

-6

Ensuring a fair taxation system

29%

35%

4%

32%

-6

-11

Security and the war on terrorism

23%

39%

3%

35%

-16

-22

Treatment of asylum seekers

20%

36%

15%

29%

-16

-18

Managing population growth

21%

32%

8%

38%

-11

-19

Note – Differences are calculated by subtracting Liberal % from Labor % – except for the two issues on which the Greens lead in which case it is Greens minus Liberal.

The Liberal Party is trusted more to handle management of the economy (-19), controlling interest rates (-17), security and the war on terrorism (-16) and treatment of asylum seekers (-16). The Labor Party is trusted more to handle a quality education for all children (+7) and a fair industrial relations system (+5).

Since this question was asked in November, the Labor Party has improved its position on all issues – especially political leadership (up 10%), Australian jobs and protection of local industries (up 9%), managing population growth (up 8%) and managing the economy (up 7%).

Better or worse under Liberal/National Government

Jan 21, 2014

Q. Under the new Liberal/National Government, do you expect the following will get better or worse?

-

Total
better

Total worse

Net

A
lot better

A little better

Stay much the same

A little wor-
se

A
lot wor-
se

Don’t know

Better
Sept 13

Wor
-se
Sept 13

Political leadership

33%

38%

-5

15%

18%

25%

12%

26%

3%

42%

31%

Trust in Government

30%

43%

-13

12%

18%

26%

13%

30%

3%

36%

36%

Unemployment

22%

45%

-23

6%

16%

30%

21%

24%

3%

27%

37%

The economy overall

30%

38%

-8

10%

20%

29%

21%

17%

3%

38%

30%

The cost of living

17%

52%

-35

5%

12%

29%

25%

27%

3%

27%

40%

Interest rates

16%

33%

-17

5%

11%

47%

18%

15%

4%

17%

31%

Health services

18%

45%

-27

5%

13%

35%

18%

27%

3%

23%

42%

Job security

17%

49%

-32

5%

12%

32%

21%

28%

3%

22%

43%

Workers rights and conditions

14%

45%

-31

5%

9%

36%

14%

31%

4%

18%

47%

Company profits

40%

18%

+22

13%

27%

38%

8%

10%

4%

47%

14%

The environment

16%

41%

-25

5%

11%

39%

14%

27%

4%

18%

39%

Education and schools

20%

43%

-23

6%

14%

33%

19%

24%

3%

25%

41%

Public services

17%

46%

-29

6%

11%

35%

20%

26%

3%

20%

45%

Benefits for people on Government support – such as pensioners and the unemployed

13%

49%

-36

4%

9%

35%

21%

28%

3%

19%

44%

Your personal financial situation

18%

37%

-19

5%

13%

42%

20%

17%

2%

22%

35%

Except for company profits, respondents believed all issues measured would get worse under the new Liberal/National Government. Expectations on each issue have declined since this question was asked immediately after the election. The largest declines have been for cost of living (net score down 22), the economy overall (-16), political leadership (-16), unemployment (-13) and trust in Government (-13).

Next 12 months

Dec 17, 2013

Q. Thinking about the next 12 months, do you think 2014 will be a good or bad year for each of the following?

 

Total good

Total

bad

 

Very good

Good

Neither good nor bad

Bad

Very bad

Don’t know

The Australian economy

27%

37%

2%

25%

31%

27%

10%

6%

Australian politics in general

21%

45%

2%

19%

29%

25%

20%

6%

Large companies and corporations

30%

30%

4%

26%

32%

22%

8%

8%

Small business

17%

41%

1%

16%

34%

30%

11%

8%

Trade unions

11%

37%

2%

9%

38%

24%

13%

14%

The average Australian

23%

34%

1%

22%

38%

26%

8%

5%

Your personal financial situation

31%

25%

3%

28%

39%

18%

7%

4%

Your workplace*

36%

21%

4%

32%

39%

16%

5%

3%

You and your family overall

41%

16%

7%

34%

38%

11%

5%

5%

* working people

Respondents are more likely to be positive about 2014 for “you and your family” (41% good/16% bad), “your workplace” (36%/21%) and “your personal financial situation” (31%/25%).

Compared to their opinions of 2013, they expect improvements for “Australian politics in general” (up 11% to 21% good), “large companies and corporations” (up 5% to 30%) and “small business” (up 7% to 17%) – although all of these are off low base figures.

State of the economy

Sep 16, 2013

Q. Overall, how would you describe the current state of the Australian economy?

 

 

28 May 12

8 Apr 13

15 Jul 13

 

Total

16 Sep 13

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Total good

35%

45%

36%

40%

50%

32%

56%

Total poor

29%

26%

30%

25%

18%

35%

18%

Very good

6%

8%

6%

6%

11%

3%

11%

Good

29%

37%

30%

34%

39%

29%

45%

Neither good nor poor

33%

28%

30%

32%

29%

32%

24%

Poor

20%

17%

22%

20%

15%

28%

15%

Very poor

9%

9%

8%

5%

3%

7%

3%

Don’t know

2%

2%

3%

3%

3%

2%

2%

40% described the economy as good or very good and 25% poor/very poor – 32% said it was neither. This represents a net improvement from +6 to +15 since July.

This improvement was mainly due to a shift in the opinions of Liberal/National – from 18% good/45% poor (net -27) in July to 32% good/35% poor (net -3). Labor voters have also shifted – from net +45 to net +32.

Those most likely to think the economy was good/very good were people with incomes over $1,600pw (48%).

Reasons for vote

Sep 5, 2013

Q. Which of the following are the main reasons why you will vote for that party? (up to 3 responses)

 

Total

 

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Other party/ Independent

Better at handling Australia’s economy

42%

29%

69%

7%

13%

Better at looking after the interests people like me

28%

37%

19%

25%

35%

They are more likely to represent the interests of all Australians

33%

37%

24%

33%

51%

I always vote for the same party

10%

13%

10%

9%

1%

They have a better leader

20%

35%

14%

5%

13%

More trustworthy than the other parties

22%

21%

15%

45%

33%

They are more united

12%

2%

21%

15%

5%

They are more capable of governing effectively than the other parties

15%

10%

26%

6%

3%

They have better policies on things like education and health

15%

29%

4%

21%

9%

They have better policies on things like environment and climate change

11%

13%

1%

55%

6%

They have better policies on things like industrial relations and supporting Australian workers

8%

16%

3%

8%

8%

They have better policies on things like national security and immigration

9%

3%

12%

15%

6%

We need a change of Government

18%

1%

28%

10%

36%

No reason

4%

5%

3%

1%

4%

Don’t know

2%

2%

2%

3%

4%

Main reasons for voting Labor were better at looking after the interests of people like me (37%), more likely to represent the interests of all Australians (37%) and have a better leader (35%).

Main reasons for voting Liberal or National were better at handling the economy (69%), need a change of Government (28%) and more capable of governing effectively (26%).

Party trust to handle issues

Sep 2, 2013

Q.  Which party would you trust most to handle the following issues?

 

Labor

Liberal

Greens

Don’t know

 

Difference 2 Sep 13

Difference 23 Jul 13

Management of the economy

32%

47%

4%

18%

-15

-15

Ensuring a quality education for all children

42%

32%

8%

19%

+10

+9

Ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system

37%

34%

8%

21%

+3

+1

Protecting the environment

19%

21%

43%

17%

+22

+18

A fair industrial relations system

41%

31%

7%

21%

+10

+11

Political leadership

31%

40%

6%

23%

-9

-7

Addressing climate change

24%

23%

32%

21%

+9

+7

Controlling interest rates

29%

41%

4%

26%

-12

-14

Australian jobs and protection of local industries

38%

36%

5%

21%

-2

-1

Ensuring a quality water supply

22%

30%

22%

26%

-8

-7

Housing affordability

30%

32%

7%

31%

-2

-2

Ensuring a fair taxation system

32%

37%

6%

26%

-5

-2

Security and the war on terrorism

27%

38%

5%

30%

-11

-15

Treatment of asylum seekers

23%

36%

16%

26%

-13

-11

Managing population growth

24%

33%

9%

34%

-9

-13

Note – Differences are calculated by subtracting Liberal % from Labor % – except for the two issues on which the Greens lead in which case it is Greens minus Liberal.

The Labor Party is trusted more to handle a quality education for all children (+10) and a fair industrial relations system (+10).

The Liberal Party is trusted more to handle management of the economy (-15), treatment of asylum seekers (-13), controlling interest rates (-12) and security and the war on terrorism (-11).

There have been no major changes since this question was last asked in July.

Trust to handle economy

May 27, 2013

Q. Who would you trust most to handle Australia’s economy – The Treasurer Wayne Swan or the Shadow Treasurer Joe Hockey?

 

6 May 2013

Total 27 May

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Wayne Swan

32%

28%

64%

7%

39%

Joe Hockey

35%

37%

7%

70%

14%

Don’t know

32%

34%

29%

23%

47%

Trust in Joe Hockey to handle the economy has increased since the Federal Budget and trust in Wayne Swan has fallen. 28% (down 4%) trust Wayne Swan more to handle Australia’s economy and 37% (up 2%) trust Joe Hockey more.

Those on incomes under $1,000pw trust Joe Hockey 34%/31% while those earning over $1,000pw trust Joe Hockey 42%/29%.

Impact of Budget

May 20, 2013

Q. Do you think the Federal Budget was good or bad for you personally?

Q. Do you think the Federal Budget was good or bad for average working people?

Q. Do you think the Federal Budget was good or bad for Australian businesses?

Q. Do you think the Federal Budget was good or bad for the Australian economy overall?

 

You
personally

Working people

Australian
businesses

Economy
overall

 

10

11

12

13

12

13

10

11

12

13

10

11

12

13

Total good

22%

11%

17%

13%

31%

17%

27%

20%

10%

15%

36%

27%

26%

26%

Total bad

26%

29%

26%

36%

24%

40%

32%

25%

43%

33%

28%

29%

32%

34%

Very good

3%

2%

2%

2%

4%

2%

3%

3%

1%

2%

6%

4%

4%

5%

Good

19%

9%

15%

11%

27%

15%

24%

17%

9%

13%

30%

23%

22%

21%

Neither good
nor bad

33%

44%

44%

38%

33%

30%

9%

31%

29%

32%

10%

25%

25%

24%

Bad

18%

21%

17%

22%

19%

27%

22%

19%

28%

20%

18%

21%

21%

21%

Very bad

8%

8%

9%

14%

5%

13%

10%

6%

15%

13%

10%

8%

11%

13%

Don’t know

20%

16%

12%

12%

12%

12%

31%

23%

18%

19%

26%

20%

17%

15%

In terms of the economy overall, there was a similar response to the 2013 budget as to the last two year’s budgets. 26% (no change from last year) thought the budget was good for the economy and 34% (up 2%) thought it was bad.  56% of Labor voters thought the budget was good for the economy and 8% bad while only 8% of Liberal/national voters thought it was good and 56% bad.

38% of respondents thought the Federal budget was neither good nor bad for them personally – 13% (down 4% on last year) said it was good and 36% (up 10%) bad. 51% of those aged 55+ thought it was neither.

17% (down 14%) thought it was good for working people and 40% (up 16%) thought it was bad.

15% (up 5%) thought the budget was good for businesses, 33% (down 10%) bad and 32% said it was neither.

Agreement with economic figures

Apr 8, 2013

Q. Some say that official figures show Australia’s economy is doing very well, especially compared to the rest of the world.  The interest rate, the unemployment rate and the inflation rate are all at relatively low levels. Do you agree or disagree that this shows the state of the economy is good?

 

28 May 12

Total

8 Apr 13

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Total agree

52%

56%

76%

42%

77%

Total disagree

37%

37%

20%

54%

20%

Strongly agree

9%

12%

25%

5%

23%

Agree

43%

44%

51%

37%

54%

Disagree

27%

29%

17%

42%

17%

Strongly disagree

10%

8%

3%

12%

3%

Don’t know

10%

7%

4%

5%

3%

When told that official figures show Australia’s economy is doing well, 56% agreed and 37% disagreed.

Those most likely to disagree were Liberal/National voters (54%), aged 55+ (45%) and people with incomes under $600pw (49%).

Reasons economy is poor

Apr 8, 2013

Q. What is the main reason you don’t think the state of the economy is good? *

 

28 May 12

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Poor economic management by Government

27%

40%

17%

52%

Increasing cost of living

34%

27%

41%

22%

Businesses are struggling

13%

11%

7%

13%

Increasing gap between rich and poor

9%

7%

15%

3%

Incomes aren’t increasing fast enough to keep up

7%

6%

7%

5%

Global financial problems

7%

5%

7%

4%

Other reason

2%

3%

6%

2%

Don’t know

1%

1%

-

-

* Based on those who disagree that economy is good.

Those who disagreed that the economy was good said the main reasons were poor economic management by Government (40%) and the increasing cost of living (27%). Those who blame poor economic management by the Government has increased 13% and cost of living has decreased 7% since May last year.

62% of respondents aged 55+ blamed poor economic management by Government while the increasing cost of living was the major factor for 41% of respondents aged 25-44.

Reasons Government is unpopular

Apr 8, 2013

Q. Although Australia’s economy is doing very well, according to opinion polls the Government is very unpopular. What do you think is the main reason for this? *

 

28 May 12

Total

8 Apr 13

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Voters don’t trust the Prime Minister

28%

27%

19%

35%

31%

The Labor Party is divided and can’t govern properly

na

19%

15%

23%

23%

The economy is doing well for other reasons, like China and the mining boom, not because of the government

15%

13%

9%

19%

11%

Voters would prefer Kevin Rudd as Prime Minister

na

9%

14%

4%

7%

Voters aren’t benefitting from the strong economy.

12%

9%

10%

5%

12%

The carbon tax has increased (will increase) the cost of living

17%

7%

6%

9%

-

Some other reason

8%

12%

21%

3%

12%

Don’t know

3%

5%

7%

2%

5%

* Based on those who agree the economy is good.

Respondents who thought the economy was doing well, thought the main reasons for the Government’s unpopularity were that voters don’t trust the Prime Minister (27%) and the Labor Party is divided and can’t govern properly (19%).

Both Liberal/National and Greens voters said trust in the Prime Minister was the key issue.

Since May last year, those blaming the impact of the carbon tax has declined from 17% to 7%.