Federal politics – voting intention

Apr 22, 2013

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,905 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

25/3/13

2 weeks ago

8/4/13

Last week

15/4/13

This week

22/4/13

Liberal

45%

47%

44%

44%

National

2%

2%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

47%

49%

48%

48%

Labor

38.0%

33%

32%

34%

34%

Greens

11.8%

11%

9%

9%

9%

Other/Independent

6.6%

9%

9%

9%

9%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

 

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

54%

56%

55%

55%

Labor

50.1%

46%

44%

45%

45%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

Federal politics – voting intention

Mar 4, 2013

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,894 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

5/2/13

2 weeks ago

18/2/13

Last week

25/2/13

This week

4/3/13

Liberal

45%

44%

46%

46%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

48%

47%

49%

49%

Labor

38.0%

34%

35%

34%

32%

Greens

11.8%

10%

9%

9%

10%

Other/Independent

6.6%

8%

8%

8%

8%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

 

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

54%

54%

56%

56%

Labor

50.1%

46%

46%

44%

44%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

Federal politics – voting intention

Jan 29, 2013

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,895 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

2 weeks ago

14/1/13

Last week

21/01/13

This week

29/01/13

Liberal

44%

44%

44%

National

4%

4%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

48%

48%

48%

Labor

38.0%

36%

36%

35%

Greens

11.8%

8%

9%

10%

Other/Independent

6.6%

8%

8%

7%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

2 weeks ago

Last week

 

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

54%

54%

54%

Labor

50.1%

46%

46%

46%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

Federal politics – voting intention

Jan 21, 2013

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,861 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

Last week ago

14/1/13

This week

21/01/13

Liberal

44%

44%

National

4%

4%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

48%

48%

Labor

38.0%

36%

36%

Greens

11.8%

8%

9%

Other/Independent

6.6%

8%

8%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

Last week

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

54%

54%

Labor

50.1%

46%

46%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

Federal politics – voting intention

Dec 10, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,888 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

12/11/12

2 weeks ago

26/11/12

Last week

3/12/12

This week

10/12/12

Liberal

42%

44%

44%

45%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

45%

47%

47%

48%

Labor

38.0%

37%

36%

37%

36%

Greens

11.8%

9%

10%

9%

8%

Other/Independent

6.6%

8%

8%

7%

8%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

52%

53%

53%

54%

Labor

50.1%

48%

47%

47%

46%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

Federal politics – voting intention

Nov 26, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size =  1,832 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

29/10/12

2 weeks ago

12/11/12

Last week

19/11/12

This week

Liberal

44%

42%

43%

44%

National

4%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

48%

45%

46%

47%

Labor

38.0%

36%

37%

36%

36%

Greens

11.8%

9%

9%

10%

10%

Other/Independent

6.6%

7%

8%

9%

8%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

54%

52%

53%

53%

Labor

50.1%

46%

48%

47%

47%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

Federal politics – voting intention

Nov 19, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,925 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

22/10/12

2 weeks ago

7/11/12

Last week

12/11/12

This week

19/11/12

Liberal

44%

43%

42%

43%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

47%

46%

45%

46%

Labor

38.0%

36%

37%

37%

36%

Greens

11.8%

9%

9%

9%

10%

Other/Independent

6.6%

7%

8%

8%

9%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

53%

53%

52%

53%

Labor

50.1%

47%

47%

48%

47%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

Party trust to handle important election issues

Nov 19, 2012

Q.  Which party would you trust most to handle the following issues?

 

ALP

Libs

Greens

Don’t know

Difference
19
Nov 12

Difference
18
Jun 12

Management of the economy

31%

45%

2%

22%

-14

-18

Ensuring a quality education for all children

38%

33%

4%

24%

+5

-2

Ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system

32%

35%

7%

25%

-3

-6

Protecting the environment

19%

22%

38%

21%

+16

+17

A fair industrial relations system

41%

32%

4%

23%

+9

+6

Political leadership

26%

38%

6%

30%

-12

-16

Addressing climate change

22%

23%

32%

24%

+9

+7

Controlling interest rates

28%

39%

3%

30%

-11

-18

Protecting Australian jobs and protection of local industries

34%

36%

4%

27%

-2

-6

Ensuring a quality water supply

21%

28%

23%

27%

-7

-12

Housing affordability

28%

33%

5%

33%

-5

-11

Ensuring a fair taxation system

30%

39%

4%

27%

-9

-10

Security and the war on terrorism

25%

40%

4%

31%

-15

-22

Treatment of asylum seekers

20%

38%

13%

29%

-18

-20

Managing population growth

22%

37%

6%

35%

-15

-19

Note – Differences are calculated by subtracting Liberal % from Labor % – except for the two issues on which the Greens lead in which case it is Greens minus Liberal.

Labor leads the Liberal Party on ensuring a quality education for all children and a fair industrial relations system. The Liberal Party has maintained strong leads on management of the economy, controlling interest rates, political leadership, security and the war on terrorism, treatment of asylum seekers and managing population growth.

There is little difference between Labor and the Liberals on ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system and protecting Australian jobs and protection of local industries. Since June, there has been a shift in Labor’s favour on most issues – especially, ensuring a quality education for all children, controlling interest rates, housing affordability and security and the war on terrorism.

Pages:1234567»