Federal politics – voting intention

Apr 22, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,842 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 25/3/14

2 weeks ago

8/4/14

Last week

15/4/14

This week

22/4/14

Liberal

 

41%

40%

40%

39%

National

3%

3%

3%

2%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

44%

42%

42%

41%

Labor

33.4%

37%

38%

37%

37%

Greens

8.6%

9%

9%

10%

11%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

4%

3%

4%

5%

Other/Independent

6.9%

7%

8%

7%

6%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 25/3/14

2 weeks ago

8/4/14

Last week

15/4/14

This week

22/4/14

Liberal National

53.5%

51%

49%

50%

49%

Labor

46.5%

49%

51%

50%

51%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Apr 15, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,887 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 18/3/14

2 weeks ago

1/4/14

Last week

8/4/14

This week

15/4/14

Liberal

 

40%

40%

40%

40%

National

3%

2%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

43%

42%

42%

42%

Labor

33.4%

36%

39%

38%

37%

Greens

8.6%

9%

9%

9%

10%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

4%

3%

3%

4%

Other/Independent

6.9%

8%

7%

8%

7%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 18/3/14

2 weeks ago

1/4/14

Last week

8/4/14

This week

15/4/14

Liberal National

53.5%

51%

49%

49%

50%

Labor

46.5%

49%

51%

51%

50%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Apr 8, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,918 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 11/3/14

2 weeks ago

25/3/14

Last week

1/4/14

This week

8/4/14

Liberal

 

40%

41%

40%

40%

National

3%

3%

2%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

42%

44%

42%

42%

Labor

33.4%

38%

37%

39%

38%

Greens

8.6%

8%

9%

9%

9%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

4%

4%

3%

3%

Other/Independent

6.9%

8%

7%

7%

8%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 11/3/14

2 weeks ago

25/3/14

Last week

1/4/14

This week

8/4/14

Liberal National

53.5%

50%

51%

49%

49%

Labor

46.5%

50%

49%

51%

51%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Apr 1, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,867 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 4/3/14

2 weeks ago

18/3/14

Last week

25/3/14

This week

1/4/14

Liberal

 

41%

40%

41%

40%

National

3%

3%

3%

2%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

44%

43%

44%

42%

Labor

33.4%

38%

36%

37%

39%

Greens

8.6%

8%

9%

9%

9%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

3%

4%

4%

3%

Other/Independent

6.9%

7%

8%

7%

7%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 4/3/14

2 weeks ago

18/3/14

Last week

25/3/14

This week

1/4/14

Liberal National

53.5%

51%

51%

51%

49%

Labor

46.5%

49%

49%

49%

51%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.


 

Federal politics – voting intention

Mar 25, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,873 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 25/2/14

2 weeks ago

11/3/14

Last week

18/3/14

This week

25/3/14

Liberal

 

39%

40%

40%

41%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

42%

42%

43%

44%

Labor

33.4%

39%

38%

36%

37%

Greens

8.6%

9%

8%

9%

9%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

4%

4%

4%

4%

Other/Independent

6.9%

7%

8%

8%

7%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 25/2/14

2 weeks ago

11/3/14

Last week

18/3/14

This week

25/3/14

Liberal National

53.5%

49%

50%

51%

51%

Labor

46.5%

51%

50%

49%

49%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Mar 18, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,912 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 18/2/14

2 weeks ago

4/3/14

Last week

11/3/14

This week

18/3/14

Liberal

 

38%

41%

40%

40%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

41%

44%

42%

43%

Labor

33.4%

40%

38%

38%

36%

Greens

8.6%

8%

8%

8%

9%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

4%

3%

4%

4%

Other/Independent

6.9%

8%

7%

8%

8%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 18/2/14

2 weeks ago

4/3/14

Last week

11/3/14

This week

18/3/14

Liberal National

53.5%

49%

51%

50%

51%

Labor

46.5%

51%

49%

50%

49%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Mar 11, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,860 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 11/2/14

2 weeks ago

25/2/14

Last week

4/3/14

This week

11/3/14

Liberal

 

40%

39%

41%

40%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

43%

42%

44%

42%

Labor

33.4%

39%

39%

38%

38%

Greens

8.6%

8%

9%

8%

8%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

3%

4%

3%

4%

Other/Independent

6.9%

7%

7%

7%

8%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 11/2/14

2 weeks ago

25/2/14

Last week

4/3/14

This week

11/3/14

Liberal National

53.5%

50%

49%

51%

50%

Labor

46.5%

50%

51%

49%

50%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Mar 5, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,842 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 4/2/14

2 weeks ago

18/2/14

Last week

25/2/14

This week

4/3/14

Liberal

 

40%

38%

39%

41%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

43%

41%

42%

44%

Labor

33.4%

39%

40%

39%

38%

Greens

8.6%

8%

8%

9%

8%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

3%

4%

4%

3%

Other/Independent

6.9%

7%

8%

7%

7%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 4/2/14

2 weeks ago

18/2/14

Last week

25/2/14

This week

4/3/14

Liberal National

53.5%

50%

49%

49%

51%

Labor

46.5%

50%

51%

51%

49%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

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