29 October 2013, 291013, 2PP, Greens, Labor Party, Liberal Party, tony abbott, two party preferred, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,899 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 7 Sep 13 (current figures) |
|
4 weeks ago 1/10/13 |
2 weeks ago 15/10/13 |
Last week 22/10/13 |
This week 29/10/13 |
| Liberal |
|
40% |
41% |
41% |
42% |
|
| National |
|
3% |
2% |
3% |
3% |
|
| Total Lib/Nat |
45.6% |
43% |
43% |
44% |
45% |
|
| Labor |
33.4% |
36% |
35% |
34% |
35% |
|
| Greens |
8.6% |
9% |
10% |
10% |
10% |
|
| Other/Independent |
12.4% |
12% |
12% |
11% |
11% |
| 2 Party Preferred |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
|
4 weeks ago 1/10/13 |
2 weeks ago 15/10/13 |
Last week 22/10/13 |
This week 29/10/13 |
| Liberal National |
53.4% |
52% |
52% |
53% |
53% |
|
| Labor |
46.6% |
48% |
48% |
47% |
47% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
29 October 2013, 291013, leader attributes, tony abbott
Q. Which of the following describe your opinion of the Prime Minister, Tony Abbott?
|
2 Sep (as Opposition leader) |
|
Total 22 Oct |
Change |
|
| Hard working |
71% |
67% |
-4 |
|
| Intelligent |
63% |
62% |
-1 |
|
| Narrow-minded |
55% |
54% |
-1 |
|
| Arrogant |
52% |
54% |
+2 |
|
| A capable leader |
46% |
52% |
+6 |
|
| Out of touch with ordinary people |
52% |
51% |
-1 |
|
| Understands the problems facing Australia |
46% |
51% |
+5 |
|
| Superficial |
48% |
49% |
+1 |
|
| Intolerant |
47% |
49% |
+2 |
|
| Aggressive |
47% |
46% |
-1 |
|
| Good in a crisis |
39% |
45% |
+6 |
|
| Erratic |
43% |
43% |
– |
|
| Trustworthy |
38% |
40% |
+2 |
|
| More honest than most politicians |
34% |
39% |
+5 |
|
| Visionary |
35% |
33% |
-2 |
Tony Abbott’s key attributes were hard working (67%), intelligent (62%), narrow-minded (54%), arrogant (54%) and a capable leader (52%).
Since September, the largest shifts have been for a capable leader (+6), good in a crisis (+6), understands the problems facing Australia (+5), more honest than most politicians (+5) and hard working (-4).
29 October 2013, 291013, bushfires, climate change
Q. Thinking about the bushfires in New South Wales, which of the following statements is closest to your view?
|
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote other |
|
| It likely that the bushfires are linked to climate change and it is appropriate to publicly raise this issue |
27% |
41% |
13% |
64% |
22% |
|
| It likely that the bushfires are linked to climate change but it is inappropriate to publicly raise this issue at this time |
14% |
14% |
15% |
9% |
9% |
|
| It is unlikely the bushfires are linked to climate change |
48% |
37% |
63% |
19% |
62% |
|
| Don’t know |
11% |
8% |
9% |
7% |
7% |
41% think that the NSW bushfires are likely to be linked to climate change and 48% think it unlikely they are linked to climate change. 27% think they are linked and it is appropriate to raise this issue while 14% think they are linked but it is inappropriate to raise this issue at this time.
Those most likely to think the bushfires and climate change are linked were aged under 35 (49%), Labor voters (55%), Greens voters (73%) and those with university education (53%).
Those who think it is unlikely they are linked tended to be aged 55+ (61%), Liberal/National voters (63%) and those who had not completed secondary education (60%).