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  • Jun, 2013

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,916 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

     

    4 weeks ago

    27/5/13

    2 weeks ago

    11/6/13

    Last week

    17/6/13

    This week

    24/6/13

    Liberal

     

    45%

    44%

    44%

    44%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    48%

    47%

    47%

    47%

    Labor

    38.0%

    34%

    36%

    35%

    34%

    Greens

    11.8%

    8%

    8%

    8%

    8%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    10%

    9%

    9%

    11%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    21 Aug 10

     

    4 weeks ago

    27/5/13

    2 weeks ago

    11/6/13

    Last week

    17/6/13

    This week

    24/6/13

    Liberal National

    49.9%

    55%

    54%

    54%

    55%

    Labor

    50.1%

    45%

    46%

    46%

    45%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

  • Jun, 2013

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    Senate vote

    Q. Would you vote for the same party in the Senate as in the House of Representatives or would you vote for a different party in the Senate?

     

    Total

     

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Vote for same party in House of Representatives and Senate

    67%

    74%

    78%

    61%

    Vote for a different party in the Senate

    9%

    9%

    7%

    11%

    Don’t know

    24%

    18%

    14%

    28%

    9% of respondents said they would vote for a different party in the Senate and 67% said they would vote for the same party as in the House of Representatives. 24% did not know.

    Those most likely to vote for a different party in the Senate were men (12%), South Australian voters (17%) and those voting for independents or other minor parties (21%).

  • Jun, 2013

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    Leader attributes – Julia Gillard

    Q. Which of the following describe your opinion of the Prime Minister, Julia Gillard?

     

    5 Jul 10

    27 Jun 11

    2 Apr 12

    14 Jan 13

    2 Apr 13

     

    23 Jun 13

    Change

    Hard-working

    89%

    75%

    65%

    72%

    66%

    71%

    +5

    Intelligent

    87%

    73%

    61%

    72%

    69%

    69%

    Out of touch with ordinary people

    35%

    60%

    65%

    53%

    64%

    57%

    -7

    Superficial

    52%

    54%

    46%

    55%

    49%

    -6

    Arrogant

    37%

    48%

    53%

    47%

    55%

    48%

    -7

    Erratic

    40%

    55%

    47%

    -8

    Narrow-minded

    28%

    46%

    53%

    45%

    55%

    46%

    -9

    Aggressive

    46%

    55%

    45%

    -10

    A capable leader

    72%

    42%

    38%

    50%

    37%

    44%

    +7

    Understands the problems facing Australia

    68%

    44%

    41%

    47%

    37%

    42%

    +5

    Good in a crisis

    61%

    41%

    36%

    50%

    44%

    41%

    -3

    Intolerant

    37%

    49%

    39%

    -10

    Visionary

    48%

    26%

    25%

    29%

    30%

    32%

    +2

    More honest than most politicians

    45%

    29%

    26%

    30%

    27%

    30%

    +3

    Trustworthy

    49%

    30%

    25%

    32%

    25%

    30%

    +5

    Julia Gillard’s key attributes were hard-working (71%), intelligent (69%), out of touch with ordinary people (57%), superficial (49%), arrogant (48%), and erratic (47%). Almost all positive leader attributes for Gillard moved up and the negative attributes moved down from the last time the question was polled in April.   The biggest shifts were for aggressive (-10), intolerant (-10), narrow-minded (-9), erratic (-8),  a capable leader (+7), arrogant (-7) and out of touch with ordinary people (-7).

  • Jun, 2013

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    Leader attributes – Tony Abbott

    Q. Which of the following describe your opinion of the Opposition Leader, Tony Abbott?

     

    5 Jul 10

    27 Jun 11

    2 Apr 12

    14 jan 13

    2 Apr 13

     

    23 Jun 13

    Change

    Hard-working

    76%

    75%

    68%

    70%

    70%

    68%

    -2

    Intelligent

    70%

    61%

    56%

    64%

    63%

    62%

    -1

    Arrogant

    59%

    60%

    61%

    61%

    56%

    59%

    +3

    Narrow-minded

    56%

    54%

    54%

    56%

    53%

    55%

    +2

    Out of touch with ordinary people

    57%

    57%

    54%

    54%

    52%

    52%

    Aggressive

    55%

    49%

    51%

    +2

    Superficial

    49%

    49%

    48%

    49%

    49%

    Intolerant

    49%

    48%

    48%

    Erratic

    51%

    45%

    47%

    +2

    Understands the problems facing Australia

    50%

    48%

    49%

    47%

    49%

    44%

    -5

    A capable leader

    47%

    45%

    41%

    43%

    47%

    44%

    -3

    Good in a crisis

    40%

    40%

    36%

    39%

    44%

    38%

    -6

    Visionary

    32%

    27%

    26%

    28%

    37%

    30%

    -7

    More honest than most politicians

    33%

    32%

    30%

    29%

    36%

    29%

    -7

    Trustworthy

    33%

    32%

    32%

    33%

    36%

    31%

    -5

    Tony Abbott’s key attributes were hard-working (68%), intelligent (62%), arrogant (59%), narrow-minded (55%), out of touch with ordinary people (52%) and aggressive (51%.

    Since April the major shifts have been for visionary (-7%), more honest than most politicians (-7%), good in a crisis (-6%), understands their problems facing Australia (-5) and trustworthy (-5).

  • Jun, 2013

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    Leader attributes – comparisons

     

    Gillard

    Abbott

     

    Difference

    Intelligent

    69%

    62%

    +7

    Out of touch with ordinary people

    57%

    52%

    +5

    Good in a crisis

    41%

    38%

    +3

    Hard-working

    71%

    68%

    +3

    Visionary

    32%

    30%

    +2

    More honest than most politicians

    30%

    29%

    +1

    Superficial

    49%

    49%

    Erratic

    47%

    47%

    A capable leader

    44%

    44%

    Trustworthy

    30%

    31%

    -1

    Understands the problems facing Australia

    42%

    44%

    -2

    Aggressive

    45%

    51%

    -6

    Narrow-minded

    46%

    55%

    -9

    Intolerant

    39%

    48%

    -9

    Arrogant

    48%

    59%

    -9

    Compared to Tony Abbott, Julia Gillard is more likely to be considered intelligent (+7) and out of touch with ordinary people (+5).

    Tony Abbott is regarded by more respondents to be arrogant (-9), intolerant (-9), narrow-minded (-9) and aggressive (-6).

  • Jun, 2013

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    Government decisions

    Q. Thinking about the decisions the Labor Government has made over the last few years, do you think the following decisions were good or bad for Australia?

     

    Total good

    Total bad

    Very good

    Good

    Neither good nor bad

    Bad

    Very bad

    Don’t know

    Sep 12 good

    Sep 12 bad

    Expanding dental health services for people on low incomes

    73%

    8%

    28%

    45%

    15%

    4%

    4%

    5%

    77%

    5%

    Increasing the tax free threshold from $6,000 to $18,200

    72%

    8%

    34%

    38%

    15%

    5%

    3%

    5%

    75%

    4%

    Increasing the age pension

    67%

    14%

    27%

    40%

    16%

    10%

    4%

    4%

    70%

    11%

    Protecting large areas of Australia’s marine environment in a network of marine reserves

    66%

    10%

    27%

    39%

    19%

    6%

    4%

    5%

    67%

    8%

    Introducing the National Disability Insurance Scheme

    63%

    9%

    26%

    37%

    20%

    5%

    4%

    8%

    58%

    5%

    Increasing superannuation from 9% to 12%

    62%

    14%

    24%

    38%

    19%

    10%

    4%

    5%

    68%

    9%

    Stimulus spending to tackle the Global Financial Crisis (GFC)

    50%

    26%

    21%

    29%

    19%

    17%

    9%

    5%

    54%

    22%

    Introducing a tax on large profits of mining companies

    49%

    27%

    21%

    28%

    20%

    15%

    12%

    5%

    49%

    25%

    Building the NBN (National Broadband Network)

    48%

    28%

    22%

    26%

    18%

    15%

    13%

    6%

    43%

    28%

    Paid parental leave

    48%

    22%

    14%

    34%

    24%

    13%

    9%

    5%

    52%

    20%

    Spending on new school buildings during the GFC

    47%

    26%

    12%

    35%

    20%

    15%

    11%

    6%

    53%

    22%

    Implementing the recommendations of the Gonski report to increase education funding

    46%

    22%

    17%

    29%

    23%

    12%

    10%

    9%

    54%

    8%

    Abolished WorkChoices

    42%

    27%

    23%

    19%

    22%

    17%

    10%

    10%

    42%

    27%

    Introducing a carbon tax to tackle climate change

    32%

    48%

    14%

    18%

    16%

    18%

    30%

    4%

    28%

    51%

    The two most popular decisions of the Labor Government are ‘expanding dental health services for people on low incomes’ (73% total good) and ‘increasing the tax free threshold from $6,000 to $18,000 (72% total good).  The least popular decisions were ‘Implementing the recommendations of the Gonski report (46% total good), ‘Abolished WorkChoices’ (42% total good) and ‘introducing a carbon tax to tackle climate change’ (32% total good).

    The only issue which received a net negative response was ‘introducing a carbon tax to tackle climate change’, where 48% of respondents believed it to be bad for Australia.

    Since this question was previously asked last September, perceptions of most decisions have become a little more negative – with the exceptions of the “carbon tax” which shifted from 28% to 32% ‘good’, the ‘NDIS’ which shifted from 58% to 63% ‘good’ and building the NBN which shifted from 43% to 48% ‘good’.

    The largest negative shifts were for the ‘Gonski recommendations’ (down 8% to 46%), increasing super (down 6% to 62%) and spending on schools during the GFC (down 6% to 47%).

  • Jun, 2013

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    Gonski reforms

    Q. The NSW and South Australian Governments have reached agreement with the Federal Government to implement the Gonski education reforms which provide more funds for schools. Tony Abbott says if he is elected he will reverse these agreements and return to the previous system for funding schools. Would you approve or disapprove of Tony Abbott reversing the Gonski reforms?

     

    Total

     

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Total approve

    32%

    17%

    51%

    12%

    Total disapprove

    44%

    71%

    21%

    66%

    Strongly approve

    12%

    5%

    21%

    6%

    Approve

    20%

    12%

    30%

    6%

    Disapprove

    20%

    24%

    14%

    26%

    Strongly disapprove

    24%

    47%

    7%

    40%

    Don’t know

    24%

    12%

    27%

    22%

    32% approved of Tony Abbott reversing the Gonski reforms if elected and 44% disapproved.

    37% of men approved compared to 27% of women. 50% of respondents aged 55+ disapproved.

  • Jun, 2013

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    Sexism and discrimination against women

    Q. How much sexism and discrimination against women do you think currently occurs in the following?

     

    A lot

    Some

    A little

    None at all

    Don’t know

     

    A lot/ some TOTAL

    A lot/ some MEN

    A lot/ some WOMEN

     

    A lot/ some Oct 12

    In workplaces

    21%

    39%

    28%

    7%

    5%

    60%

    47%

    72%

    55%

    In the media

    23%

    36%

    25%

    10%

    5%

    59%

    48%

    71%

    56%

    In politics

    28%

    33%

    23%

    11%

    5%

    61%

    49%

    73%

    61%

    In advertising

    29%

    31%

    24%

    10%

    6%

    60%

    51%

    69%

    59%

    In sport

    23%

    34%

    25%

    12%

    6%

    57%

    46%

    69%

    58%

    In schools

    11%

    29%

    32%

    18%

    10%

    40%

    34%

    46%

    43%

    A majority of respondents think there is a lot or some sexism in politics (61%), advertising (60%), workplaces (60%), the media (59%) and sport (57%).

    Women were more likely than men to think there is a lot or some sexism in all areas – but especially in politics (women 73%, men 49%), workplaces (72%/47%) and the media (71%/48%).

    Since this question was previously asked last October, those thinking there is a lot/some sexism in workplaces has increased 5 points to 60%.

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