Federal politics – voting intention

Jun 28, 2010

Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?

Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?

1,803sample size

First preference/leaning to 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

Liberal 34% 39% 38% 37% 36%
National 3% 2% 3% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 37% 41% 41% 40% 39%
Labor 47% 39% 35% 38% 42%
Greens 8% 9% 14% 11% 9%
Family First 2% 2% 2% 3% 3%
Other/Independent 6% 8% 8% 8% 7%
2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

Total Lib/Nat 43% 49% 49% 48% 46%
Labor 57% 51% 51% 52% 54%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.

* Sample is the aggregation of two weeks’ polling data.

  • asmith

    Would of liked a national vote for RUDD AND GILLARD being prime minister. This was taken out of our hands as citizens of Australia. Iknow we vote for the party not the person but somehow i feel that we have been left in the dark. Gillard avoids explanation of what really went on. Rudd missing from cabinet meeting was disgraceful. I wasn’t in total favour of Rudd but i do believe Gillard doesn’t represent us properly as women. Am a little embaressed that this boasts empowerment for the women of Australia when the women of Australia weren’t even apart of choice here. And that is what empowering a people/person is, the right to choose. Sorry Gillard but no choice was given for us girls here. Women gain respect by going about things the right way. What happened to the vote that was supposed to take place on you and Rudd. It never happened you got PM then have dodged the question we all should have the right to know how it could happen and why has it happened. A reasonable request from a nation of youhave somehow taken charge over not taken charge of. A lady or women gains nothing by this way of handling things. Grr Reaaly no power to the people and it has shown greatly on the day you got the PM seat. As for your statement to Abbot GAME ON you declared in a handshake. The entrustment of a nation and it’s people are not a game rather a privelidge. You had forgotten us the day you forgot to ask..

  • Russell Gilmour

    And if the ALP had gone with Rudd to the election and lost, you’d be saying what about Gillard then? Didn’t have the ticker? Gutless like Costello? I can hear it now.
    Rudd lost the support of his party.
    Gillard challenged.
    Rudd stood down.
    Gillard elected unopposed.
    So you tell me. What’s the ‘right’ way?

  • Carolyn

    I agree with Russell. Julia was put into a no win situation. Rudd had stopped listening to the party and had to go. So who do you choose? It didn’t got to a vote because Rudd didn’t have the numbers. So instead of being flattened in party poll he chose to step aside.

    I don’t think Julia wanted this role this early in her political life. I think she wanted to perfect her education and IR policies, and perhaps if Labor had got a second term been ready to step up.

    Often the people who don’t particularly seek a role make the best leaders, because they don’t approach the role as the goa. Their approach is not ego driven and therefore they tend to be more prudent and pragmatic over the long haul.

    My impression now is that Julia is finally warming to the task. More power to her or whoever is the Labor leader. I just couldn’t vote for a niche party like the Libs.