Federal politics – voting intention

Dec 3, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,799respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

7/11/12

2 weeks ago

19/11/12

Last week

26/11/12

This week

3/12/12

Liberal

43%

43%

44%

44%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

46%

46%

47%

47%

Labor

38.0%

37%

36%

36%

37%

Greens

11.8%

9%

10%

10%

9%

Other/Independent

6.6%

8%

9%

8%

7%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

53%

53%

53%

53%

Labor

50.1%

47%

47%

47%

47%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.