Federal politics – voting intention

Jul 30, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,837 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2/7/12

2 weeks ago

16/7/12

Last week

23/7/12

This week

30/7/12

Liberal

45%

46%

45%

45%

National

3%

3%

4%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

49%

49%

49%

49%

Labor

38.0%

32%

31%

33%

33%

Greens

11.8%

10%

10%

10%

10%

Other/Independent

6.6%

9%

9%

9%

8%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

56%

57%

56%

55%

Labor

50.1%

44%

43%

44%

45%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. + or – 2%.

  • Morgan

    Any figures for Qld?

    Things are a bit crazy up here at the moment, with 7,000 (not a mistake) public servants sacked already.

    Qlders are angry at the LNP, given newspaper comments and anecdotal evidence but there don’t seem to be any polls yet to register this.