Federal politics – voting intention

Apr 30, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size =  1,910 respondents

 

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2/4/12

Last week

16/4/12

This week

23/4/12

This week

30/4/12

Liberal

46%

45%

45%

46%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

48%

48%

49%

50%

Labor

38.0%

33%

31%

31%

31%

Greens

11.8%

11%

11%

11%

11%

Other/Independent

6.6%

8%

9%

9%

9%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

55%

56%

56%

57%

Labor

50.1%

45%

44%

44%

43%

 

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These figures have a confidence interval of approx. + or – 2%.

 

  • Matt

    I think this shows that around 30% of the population are “rusted on” supporters of Labor and probably the Libs as well. Not sure how anyone could be in favour of 2012 Labor unless they had been on desert island for 3.5 years!