Managing the economy

Aug 26, 2014

Q. Which party – Labor or Liberal – do you think is best when it comes to:

 

Labor

Liberal

No Difference

Don’t Know

Difference (Labor v. Liberal)

 

Difference May 2014

Representing the interests of Australian working families

48%

17%

25%

11%

+31%

+27%

Representing the interests of you and people like you

35%

27%

27%

11%

+8%

+10%

Standing up for the middle class in Australia

30%

28%

27%

15%

+2%

+14%

Representing the interests of the large corporate and financial interests

9%

59%

19%

13%

-50%

-41%

Being more concerned about the interests of working families in Australia than the rich and large business and financial interests

47%

15%

24%

14%

+32%

+29%

Handling the economy overall

23%

37%

27%

14%

-14%

-14%

Handling the economy in a way that tries to take the interests of working families into consideration as much as it takes the interests of the large corporate and financial groups

34%

23%

27%

15%

+11%

+10%

Handling the economy in a way that best helps small business

24%

32%

27%

17%

-8%

-5%

Handling the economy in a way that best helps the middle class

25%

32%

28%

14%

-7%

+1%

Handling the economy in a way that helps you and people like you the most.

32%

27%

27%

14%

+5%

+8%

Labor was more likely to be selected as the party best at all of the items, except for ‘Representing the interests of the large corporate and financial interests’ (59% Liberal, 9% Labor), ‘Handling the economy overall’ (37% Liberal, 23% Labor), ‘Handling the economy in a way that best helps small business’ (32% Liberal, 24% Labor) and ‘Handling the economy in a way that best helps the middle class’ (32% Liberal, 25% Labor).

Since this question was asked in May, the main shifts have been for “Standing up for the middle class in Australia “ (Labor down 12%), “Handling the economy in a way that best helps the middle class” (Labor down 8%) and “Representing the interests of the large corporate and financial interests” (Liberals up 9%).

Foreign investment

Aug 26, 2014

Q. Do you think investment in mining and ports by Chinese companies is good or bad for the Australian economy?

  

Total

 

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

Total good

38%

37%

50%

34%

29%

Total bad

36%

34%

30%

38%

52%

Very good

6%

7%

7%

4%

4%

Good

32%

30%

43%

30%

25%

Bad

22%

24%

18%

24%

28%

Very bad

14%

10%

12%

14%

24%

Don’t know

26%

29%

20%

28%

20%

38% think that investment in mining and ports by Chinese companies is good for the Australian economy and 36% think it is bad.

Liberal/National voters are more likely to think it is good for the economy (50%), while Labor and Greens voters are almost evenly divided on this issue.

Those most likely to think it is good for the economy were men (48%) and full-time workers (46%). Those most likely to think it is bad were aged 55+ (46%).

Federal politics – voting intention

Aug 19, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,838 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 22/7/14

2 weeks ago

5/8/14

Last week

12/8/14

This week

19/8/14

Liberal

 

37%

39%

38%

37%

National

3%

2%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

40%

41%

41%

40%

Labor

33.4%

38%

39%

39%

38%

Greens

8.6%

9%

9%

8%

9%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

5%

4%

5%

6%

Other/Independent

6.9%

7%

7%

7%

7%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 15/7/14

2 weeks ago

29/7/14

Last week

5/8/14

This week

12/8/14

Liberal National

53.5%

48%

49%

49%

48%

Labor

46.5%

52%

51%

51%

52%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election. 

State of the economy

Aug 19, 2014

Q. Overall, how would you describe the current state of the Australian economy?

 

 

May 2012

Apr 2013

Sep 2013

Jan 2014

Apr 2014

 

Total

 

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

Total good

35%

45%

40%

34%

38%

37%

36%

44%

41%

22%

Total poor

29%

26%

25%

26%

24%

26%

33%

19%

18%

35%

Very good

6%

8%

6%

4%

3%

6%

6%

6%

7%

3%

Good

29%

37%

34%

30%

35%

31%

30%

38%

34%

19%

Neither good nor poor

33%

28%

32%

36%

34%

35%

29%

37%

39%

42%

Poor

20%

17%

20%

21%

19%

18%

21%

15%

16%

20%

Very poor

9%

9%

5%

5%

5%

8%

12%

4%

2%

15%

Don’t know

2%

2%

3%

4%

4%

3%

2%

1%

3%

1%

37% described the economy as good or very good and 26% poor/very poor – 35% said it was neither. This represents a small net decline from +14 to +11 since April.

Those most likely to think the economy was good/very good were people with university education (47%). Liberal/National voters (44%) were more likely that Labor voters (36%) to think the economy was good.

Australian economy heading in right or wrong direction

Aug 19, 2014

Q. From what you have read and heard, do you think the Australian economy is heading in the right direction or the wrong direction?

 

 

May 2010

May 2011

Jun 2012

Apr 2013

Sep 2013

Jan 2014

Apr 2014

 

Total

 

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/ Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

The right dir-ection

51%

45%

43%

36%

44%

38%

39%

35%

24%

56%

26%

23%

The wrong dir-ection

25%

29%

32%

39%

26%

33%

34%

41%

54%

22%

54%

54%

Don’t know

24%

25%

25%

25%

30%

29%

26%

24%

22%

22%

19%

23%

35% of respondents think that Australia’s economy is heading in the right direction and 41% think it is heading in the wrong direction. This represents a net change from +5 to -6 since April – and the most pessimistic response recorded over the last four years.

24% (down 1%) of Labor voters, 56% (down 11%) of Liberal/National voters and 26% (up 4%) of Greens voters think the economy is heading in the right direction. 54% of Labor and Greens voters and 50% of those earning less than $600pw think the economy is heading in the wrong direction.

Concern about job losses

Aug 19, 2014

Q. How concerned are you that you or some member of your immediate family will lose their job in the next year or so: very concerned, somewhat concerned, or not at all concerned?

 

Total

 

 

Male

Female

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

 

Aug 2012

Feb 2014

May 2014

Total Concerned

58%

56%

61%

65%

52%

54%

66%

47%

55%

57%

Very concerned

22%

23%

21%

30%

14%

14%

30%

13%

22%

23%

Somewhat concerned

36%

33%

40%

35%

38%

40%

36%

34%

33%

34%

Not at all concerned

32%

33%

32%

26%

42%

35%

24%

37%

31%

29%

Don’t know

4%

3%

5%

3%

3%

4%

3%

8%

6%

7%

No employees in the immediate family

5%

8%

3%

6%

3%

6%

6%

7%

8%

7%

More than half (58%) of respondents were concerned that they, or a member of their immediate family will lose their jobs in the next year or so – little change since May.

Females (61%) are more likely to be concerned than males (56%).

Labor (65%) and other (66%) voters are more likely to be concerned. Liberal/National (52%) are less likely to be concerned.

64% of those earning less than $600pw were concerned compared to 52% of those earning more than $1,600pw.

Impact of Budget on employment

Aug 19, 2014

Q. Do you think the Government’s budget will be good or bad for employment in Australia? 

 

Total

 

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

Total good

21%

8%

46%

3%

11%

Total bad

49%

76%

15%

74%

67%

Very good

4%

4%

8%

-

1%

Good

17%

4%

38%

3%

10%

Neither good nor bad

21%

13%

31%

12%

16%

Bad

24%

30%

13%

37%

31%

Very bad

25%

46%

2%

37%

36%

Don’t know

9%

4%

8%

11%

5%

49% think that the Government’s budget will be bad for employment in Australia and 21% think it will be good for employment.

Among those earning less than $600pw, 17% think it will be good and 60% think it will be bad.

Refusal of budget

Aug 19, 2014

Q. If the Senate refuses to pass major parts of the Government’s budget (e.g. $7 Medicare co-payment, deregulating university fees) which of the following actions do you think the Government should take?

 

Total

 

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

Introduce a new budget

38%

22%

60%

32%

30%

Call an election

43%

67%

19%

52%

55%

Don’t know

19%

11%

20%

16%

16%

If the Senate refuses to pass major parts of the Government’s budget, 43% think the Government should call an election and 38% think they should introduce a new budget.

Liberal/National voters favour introducing a new budget (60%) while 67% of Labor voters think the Government should call an election. A majority of Greens (52%) and other voters (55%) also favour an election.

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