Approval of Tony Abbott

Jan 13, 2015

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Prime Minister? 

 

Total

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/
Nat

Vote Greens

Vote Other

 

Sep 13

Mar 14

June 14

Sep 14

Oct 14

Nov 14

Dec 14

Total approve

37%

12%

83%

8%

29%

 

41%

40%

35%

35%

40%

39%

32%

Total disapprove

53%

81%

10%

89%

64%

 

36%

47%

58%

52%

48%

50%

55%

Strongly approve

9%

3%

22%

-

2%

14%

11%

10%

9%

10%

11%

8%

Approve

28%

9%

61%

8%

27%

27%

29%

25%

26%

30%

28%

24%

Disapprove

23%

28%

9%

25%

36%

13%

20%

18%

22%

22%

24%

22%

Strongly disapprove

30%

53%

1%

64%

28%

23%

27%

40%

30%

26%

26%

33%

Don’t know

10%

7%

8%

3%

7%

23%

12%

7%

13%

11%

10%

12%

53% of respondents disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Prime Minister – down 2% since the last time this question was asked in December – and 37% approve of the job Tony Abbott is doing (up 5%). This represents a change in net rating from -23 to -16.

83% (up 8%) of Liberal/National voters approve of Tony Abbott’s performance, with 10% (down 5%) disapproving. 81% of Labor voters and 89% of Greens voters disapprove of Tony Abbott’s performance.

By gender men were 40% approve/51% disapprove and women 34% approve/55% disapprove.

Approval of Bill Shorten

Jan 13, 2015

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Bill Shorten is doing as Opposition Leader? 

 

Total

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/
Nat

Vote Greens

Vote Other

 

Nov 13

Mar 14

June 14

Sep 14

Oct 14

Nov 14

Dec 14

Total
approve

39%

68%

23%

47%

22%

31%

32%

38%

35%

35%

37%

35%

Total disapprove

33%

12%

53%

27%

50%

27%

39%

40%

36%

36%

38%

39%

Strongly approve

7%

16%

2%

5%

3%

5%

4%

7%

5%

5%

6%

7%

Approve

32%

52%

21%

42%

19%

26%

28%

31%

30%

30%

31%

28%

Disapprove

19%

9%

25%

21%

35%

17%

24%

22%

22%

24%

25%

23%

Strongly disapprove

14%

3%

28%

6%

15%

10%

15%

18%

14%

12%

13%

16%

Don’t
know

28%

20%

24%

26%

27%

43%

29%

22%

29%

29%

25%

26%

39% (up 4% since December) of respondents approve of the job Bill Shorten is doing as opposition leader and 33% (down 6%) disapprove – for a net rating of +6 (up 10%). This is Bill Shorten’s first positive net rating since January last year.

68% (up 4%) of Labor voters approve of the job Bill Shorten is doing and 12% (down 3%) disapprove.

41% of men and 36% of women approve of Bill Shorten. 34% of men and 33% of women disapprove.

Better Prime Minister

Jan 13, 2015

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Tony Abbott and Bill Shorten? 

 

Total

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/
Nat

Vote Green

Vote Other

 

Oct 2013

Mar 2014

June 2014

Sep 2014

Oct 2014

Nov 2014

Dec 2104

Tony Abbott

35%

7%

82%

6%

28%

41%

39%

36%

35%

38%

36%

31%

Bill Shorten

37%

73%

3%

71%

27%

22%

33%

40%

36%

32%

34%

36%

Don’t know

28%

20%

15%

23%

45%

37%

28%

24%

30%

30%

29%

33%

35% (up 4% since December) of respondents think Tony Abbott would make the better Prime Minister and 37% (up 1%) think Bill Shorten would make the better Prime Minister.

37% of men prefer Tony Abbott and 37% prefer Bill Shorten – and women prefer Bill Shorten 38% to 33%.

Penalty rates

Jan 13, 2015

Q. Do you think people who are required to work outside of normal hours – like night shifts, weekends or public holidays – should receive a higher hourly rate of pay?

 

Total

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote Other

 

Work full time

Work part time

 

May 2013

Yes

81%

91%

69%

91%

83%

80%

84%

81%

No

13%

7%

23%

7%

11%

14%

10%

12%

Don’t know

6%

2%

8%

2%

6%

6%

5%

7%

81% think that people who are required to work outside of normal hours should receive a higher hourly rate of pay and 13% think they should not. There has been no change of opinion on this issue since this question was asked in May 2013.

A large majority of all demographic and voter groups agree that worker should receive higher rates for working outside normal hours – although Labor voters (91%) and Greens voters (91%) are somewhat more likely to support this than Liberal/National voters (69%).

Cutting penalty rates

Jan 13, 2015

Q. Would you support or oppose cutting weekend and public holiday penalty rates for hospitality and retail workers?

 

Total

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote Other

 

Work full time

Work part time

Total support

23%

16%

37%

13%

12%

29%

15%

Total oppose

68%

76%

53%

82%

77%

62%

71%

Strongly support

9%

7%

16%

5%

3%

12%

6%

Support

14%

9%

21%

8%

9%

17%

9%

Oppose

32%

26%

35%

27%

43%

33%

23%

Strongly oppose

36%

50%

18%

55%

34%

29%

48%

Don’t know

10%

8%

10%

5%

10%

10%

14%

68% oppose cutting weekend and public holiday penalty rates for hospitality and retail workers and 23% support.

While a majority of all demographic and voter groups oppose cutting penalty rates, those most likely to oppose were Labor voters (76%), Greens voters (82%), women (73%) and those aged 45-64 (76%). 37% of Liberal/National voters and 36% of those aged 65+ support cutting penalty rates.

Likely result of cutting penalty rates

Jan 13, 2015

Q. What do you think would be the more likely result of cutting penalty rates for hospitality and retail workers?

 

Total

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote Other

 

Work full time

Work part time

Businesses will make bigger profits

63%

75%

50%

77%

66%

61%

68%

Businesses will employ more workers

18%

10%

32%

8%

18%

22%

14%

Don’t know

18%

15%

18%

15%

15%

16%

18%

63% think that cutting penalty rates will more likely result in businesses making bigger profits while 18% think the more likely result will be that businesses will employ more workers.

A substantial majority (over 60%) of all demographic groups believe it will more likely result in bigger profits for businesses. Only Liberal/National voters have a somewhat different view – 50% think it is more likely to result in bigger profits and 32% more jobs.

Federal politics – voting intention

Dec 16, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,792 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 18/11/14

2 weeks ago

2/12/14

Last week

9/12/14

This week

16/12/14

Liberal

 

37%

37%

35%

35%

National

3%

3%

4%

4%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

40%

40%

39%

40%

Labor

33.4%

38%

40%

39%

38%

Greens

8.6%

10%

9%

10%

10%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

3%

3%

2%

2%

Other/Independent

6.9%

9%

8%

10%

10%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 18/11/14

2 weeks ago

2/12/14

Last week

9/12/14

This week

16/12/14

Liberal National

53.5%

48%

47%

47%

48%

Labor

46.5%

52%

53%

53%

52%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Climate change

Dec 16, 2014

Q. Do you believe that there is fairly conclusive evidence that climate change is happening and caused by human activity or do you believe that the evidence is still not in and we may just be witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate which happens from time to time?

 

Total

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

 

Nov 09

Dec 10

Jun 11

Oct 12

Oct 13

Sep 14

Climate change is happening and is caused by human activity

57%

70%

42%

87%

49%

53%

45%

50%

48%

52%

56%

We are just witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate

29%

21%

44%

3%

38%

34%

36%

39%

39%

36%

30%

Don’t know

14%

9%

14%

9%

13%

13%

19%

12%

13%

12%

14%

57% (up 1% since June) agree that climate change is happening and is caused by human activity and 29% (down 1%) believe that we may just be witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate. This is the highest level of belief in climate change recorded in Essential polls – and the lowest level of disbelief.

By age groups, those aged under 35 split 67%/20% and those aged 55+ split 41%/48%. People with higher education were more likely to think climate change is happening and is caused by human activity – those with university degrees split 68%/22%.

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