The Essential Report Archive Read the latest report

  • Mar, 2015

    Approval of Bill Shorten

    Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Bill Shorten is doing as Opposition Leader? 

     

    Total

     

    Vote ALP

    Vote Lib/
    Nat

    Vote Green

    Vote Other

     

    Nov 2013

    Mar 2014

    June 2014

    Sep 2014

    Dec 2014

    Jan 2015

    Feb 2015

    Total
    approve

    34%

    61%

    20%

    26%

    22%

    31%

    32%

    38%

    35%

    35%

    39%

    33%

    Total dis-approve

    39%

    18%

    65%

    35%

    50%

    27%

    39%

    40%

    36%

    39%

    33%

    38%

    Strongly approve

    5%

    14%

    *

    1%

    1%

    5%

    4%

    7%

    5%

    7%

    7%

    8%

    Approve

    29%

    47%

    20%

    25%

    21%

    26%

    28%

    31%

    30%

    28%

    32%

    25%

    Dis-approve

    21%

    14%

    29%

    25%

    27%

    17%

    24%

    22%

    22%

    23%

    19%

    21%

    Strongly dis-approve

    18%

    4%

    36%

    10%

    23%

    10%

    15%

    18%

    14%

    16%

    14%

    17%

    Don’t know

    27%

    22%

    15%

    38%

    28%

    43%

    29%

    22%

    29%

    26%

    28%

    29%

    34% (up 1% since February) of respondents approve of the job Bill Shorten is doing as opposition leader and 39% (up 1%) disapprove – for a net rating of -5 (no change).

    61% (down 3%) of Labor voters approve of the job Bill Shorten is doing and 18% (up 6%) disapprove.

    36% of men and 31% of women approve of Bill Shorten. 44% of men and 35% of women disapprove.

  • Mar, 2015

    Better Prime Minister

    Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Tony Abbott and Bill Shorten? 

     

    Total

     

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/
    Nat

    Vote Green

    Vote Other

     

    Oct 2013

    Mar 2014

    June 2014

    Sep 2014

    Dec 2104

    Jan 2015

    Feb 2015

    Tony Abbott

    33%

    4%

    77%

    4%

    22%

    41%

    39%

    36%

    35%

    31%

    35%

    31%

    Bill Shorten

    37%

    77%

    8%

    56%

    26%

    22%

    33%

    40%

    36%

    36%

    37%

    39%

    Don’t know

    30%

    19%

    15%

    41%

    52%

    37%

    28%

    24%

    30%

    33%

    28%

    30%

    33% (up 2% since February) of respondents think Tony Abbott would make the better Prime Minister and 37% (down 2%) think Bill Shorten would make the better Prime Minister.

    36% of men prefer Tony Abbott and 37% prefer Bill Shorten – and women prefer Bill Shorten 38% to 29%.

  • Mar, 2015

    Level of tax

    Q.  Do you think the following pay too much tax, not enough tax or about the right amount?

    *DPN = Don’t pay enough

    Total

    Labor voters

    Lib/Nat voters

    Pay too much

    DPN

    Pay about right 

    Don’t know

    Pay too much

    DPN

    Pay about right 

    Don’t know

    Pay too much

    DPN

    Pay about right 

    Don’t know

    Large
    business

    3%

    64%

    14%

    19%

    3%

    72%

    8%

    17%

    3%

    60%

    21%

    16%

    Small
    business

    41%

    6%

    34%

    19%

    39%

    8%

    40%

    14%

    43%

    6%

    36%

    15%

    People on
    low incomes

    47%

    5%

    36%

    13%

    57%

    4%

    30%

    9%

    34%

    6%

    48%

    12%

    People on average incomes

    43%

    5%

    41%

    11%

    52%

    4%

    36%

    8%

    33%

    7%

    50%

    10%

    People on
    high incomes

    10%

    59%

    19%

    12%

    9%

    66%

    17%

    8%

    9%

    56%

    25%

    11%

    You
    personally

    36%

    4%

    47%

    13%

    40%

    4%

    45%

    11%

    29%

    5%

    53%

    13%

    Mining companies

    4%

    67%

    12%

    17%

    3%

    75%

    9%

    13%

    4%

    63%

    18%

    15%

    Retirees
    on large incomes

    15%

    29%

    30%

    26%

    15%

    33%

    29%

    22%

    14%

    26%

    38%

    23%

    Large intl companies (such as Google & Apple)

    2%

    73%

    8%

    18%

    2%

    74%

    8%

    16%

    2%

    73%

    10%

    15%

    Religious
    organisation

    5%

    53%

    16%

    26%

    4%

    54%

    15%

    27%

    5%

    53%

    21%

    21%

    From the groups listed, people on low income (47%), small businesses (41%) and people on average incomes (43%) were the groups respondents were most likely to think pay too much tax.

    More than half of respondents believe that ‘large international companies’ (73%), ‘large businesses’ (64%), ‘mining companies’ (67%), and ‘religious organisations’ (53%) do not pay enough tax.

    Overall, Labor voters were more likely than Liberal voters to think the following groups pay too much tax – low incomes (Labor 57%/LNP34%), average incomes (52%/33%) and ‘you personally’ (40%/29%). Labor voters were also more likely to think the following don’t pay enough tax – large businesses (72%/60%), people on high incomes (66%/56%) and mining companies (75%/63%).

  • Mar, 2015

    ,

    Impact of higher tax on multinational corporations

    Q. Do you think that making big multinational corporations pay more tax would be good for the economy because it would increase Government revenue or bad for the economy because these companies would stop investing in Australia? 

     

    Total

     

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Vote Other

    Good for the economy

    60%

    65%

    61%

    66%

    62%

    Bad for the economy

    13%

    12%

    14%

    8%

    12%

    Don’t know

    27%

    23%

    25%

    26%

    26%

    60% think that making big multinational corporations pay more tax would be good for the economy because it would increase Government revenue and 13% think it would be bad for the economy because these companies would stop investing in Australia.

    More than 60% of all voter groups believe it would be good for the economy. 66% of men and 72% of respondents aged 55+ think it would be good for the economy.

  • Mar, 2015

    Sending troops to Iraq

    Q. Do you approve or disapprove of sending more Australian troops to Iraq to help train Iraqi forces fighting Islamic State militants? 

     

    Total

     

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Vote Other

    Total approve

    36%

    28%

    54%

    15%

    35%

    Total disapprove

    50%

    60%

    35%

    72%

    56%

    Strongly approve

    7%

    5%

    10%

    2%

    6%

    Approve

    29%

    23%

    44%

    13%

    29%

    Disapprove

    29%

    31%

    25%

    36%

    31%

    Strongly disapprove

    21%

    29%

    10%

    36%

    25%

    Don’t know

    14%

    12%

    11%

    13%

    10%

    36% approve of sending more Australian troops to Iraq to help train Iraqi forces fighting Islamic State militants and 50% disapprove.

    A majority of Liberal/National voters (54%) approve but other voter groups strongly disapprove – 60% of Labor voters and 72% of Greens voters.

    Men are divided (45% approve/45% disapprove) while women strongly disapprove (27% approve/55% disapprove).

  • Mar, 2015

    Impact of sending troops to Iraq

    Q. Do you think sending troops to Iraq will make Australia more safe or less safe from terrorism?

     

    Total

     

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Vote Other

    More safe

    12%

    8%

    20%

    5%

    8%

    Less safe

    30%

    33%

    22%

    44%

    34%

    Make no difference

    47%

    51%

    47%

    37%

    53%

    Don’t know

    10%

    7%

    10%

    13%

    5%

    30% think sending more troops to Iraq will make Australia less safe from terrorism and 12% think it will make Australia more safe. 47% think it will make no difference.

  • Mar, 2015

    Government support

    Q. Thinking about Government welfare and services, do you think the following groups of people receive enough support, too much support or about the right support from the Government?

     

    Too much support

    Not enough support

    About the right support

    Don’t know

    Children

    11%

    38%

    38%

    13%

    Young adults

    15%

    41%

    32%

    11%

    Families with school-aged children

    14%

    36%

    38%

    11%

    Middle aged

    8%

    33%

    44%

    15%

    Retirees

    6%

    56%

    27%

    11%

    A majority (56%) think that retirees don’t get enough Government support and 41% don’t think young adults get enough support. 44% think middle aged people get about the right support.

    By age group, those most likely to think each group does not get enough support were –

    Children – aged 35-54 43%

    Young adults – aged 18-24 54%

    Families with school-aged children – aged 25-44 41%

    Middle aged – aged 45-54 45%

    Retirees – aged 45-64 66%

  • Mar, 2015

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,820 respondents 

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago

    3/2/15

    2 weeks ago 17/2/15

    Last week

    24/2/15

    This week 3/3/15

    Liberal

     

    35%

    36%

    38%

    37%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Liberal/National

    45.6%

    38%

    39%

    40%

    40%

    Labor

    33.4%

    41%

    41%

    41%

    41%

    Greens

    8.6%

    9%

    10%

    9%

    9%

    Palmer United Party

    5.5%

    3%

    2%

    2%

    2%

    Other/Independent

    6.9%

    9%

    8%

    8%

    9%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago

    3/2/15

    2 weeks ago 17/2/15

    Last week

    24/2/15

    This week 3/3/15

    Liberal National

    53.5%

    46%

    46%

    47%

    47%

    Labor

    46.5%

    54%

    54%

    53%

    53%

     

    NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election. 

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