The Essential Report Archive Read the latest report

  • Apr, 2017

    Better Prime Minister

    Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Malcolm Turnbull and Bill Shorten?

      Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Sep 2015 Dec 2015 Mar 2016 Jun 2016 Sep 2016 Dec 2016 Jan 2017 Feb 2017 Mar

    2017

    Malcolm Turnbull 39%   13% 83% 9% 39%   53% 54% 48% 40% 41% 39% 39% 39% 38%
    Bill Shorten 28%   60% 4% 56% 16%   17% 15% 19% 29% 26% 28% 28% 25% 26%
    Don’t know 32%   27% 13% 36% 46%   30% 31% 33% 32% 33% 33% 33% 36% 36%

     

     

    39% (up 1% in last 4 weeks) of respondents think Malcolm Turnbull would make the better Prime Minister and 28% (up 2%) think Bill Shorten would make the better Prime Minister.

    46% of men prefer Malcolm Turnbull and 29% prefer Bill Shorten.

    32% of women prefer Malcolm Turnbull and 28% prefer Bill Shorten.

  • Apr, 2017

    Tax cuts for business

    Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the Government’s decision to give $24 billion worth of tax cuts to businesses with annual turnover of up to $50 million?

      Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
    Total approve 31%   19% 59% 11% 34%
    Total disapprove 50%   68% 27% 72% 52%
    Strongly approve 7%   2% 17% 2% 5%
    Approve 24%   17% 42% 9% 29%
    Disapprove 26%   31% 20% 28% 27%
    Strongly disapprove 24%   37% 7% 44% 25%
    Don’t know 19%   14% 15% 17% 13%

     

    31% approve of the Government’s decision to give tax cuts to businesses with turnover less than $50 million and 50% disapprove.

    Liberal/National voters were the only voter or demographic group showing majority approval (59%).

    Those most likely to disapprove were Greens voters (72%), Labor voters (68%) and aged 45-64 (60%).

  • Apr, 2017

    Tax cuts for large businesses

    Q. Would you approve or disapprove of giving a similar tax cut to businesses with annual turnover of more then $50 million?

      Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
    Total approve 20%   17% 35% 8% 18%
    Total disapprove 60%   70% 46% 78% 68%
    Strongly approve 4%   3% 8% 2% 1%
    Approve 16%   14% 27% 6% 17%
    Disapprove 26%   24% 33% 22% 24%
    Strongly disapprove 34%   46% 13% 56% 44%
    Don’t know 20%   14% 19% 15% 13%

     

    20% would approve of giving similar tax cuts to businesses with turnover more than $50 million and 60% would disapprove.

    On this issue Liberal/National voters were more likely to disapprove (35% approve/46% disapprove).

    Those most likely to disapprove were Greens voters (78%), Labor voters (70%) and aged 45+ (67%).

  • Apr, 2017

    Impact of tax cuts

    Q. What do you think will be the more likely result of tax cuts for businesses?

      Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
    Businesses will make bigger profits 57%   73% 41% 78% 61%
    Businesses will employ more workers 26%   14% 49% 8% 25%
    Don’t know 17%   13% 10% 14% 14%

    57% think that tax cuts for businesses will be more likely to lead to bigger profits and 26% think it is more likely to result in more workers employed.

    Those most likely to think it will lead to bigger profits were Greens voters (78%), Labor voters (73%), aged 45-64 (63%) and university educated (63%).

  • Apr, 2017

    Getting better or worse

    Q. Do you think things are getting better or worse for you and you family in terms of the following?

      Total better Total worse   Getting a lot better Getting a little better Staying much the same Getting a little worse Getting a lot worse Don’t know
    Housing affordability 9% 62%   4% 5% 21% 22% 40% 9%
    Cost of electricity and gas 6% 74%   2% 4% 17% 32% 42% 3%
    Your general standard of living 13% 49%   3% 10% 36% 32% 17% 2%
    Your income 13% 36%   2% 11% 47% 19% 17% 4%
    Your job security * 14% 31%   3% 11% 52% 17% 14% 3%
    Work-family balance * 17% 32%   4% 13% 48% 19% 13% 3%
    Your overall quality of life 17% 34%   3% 14% 46% 22% 12% 2%
    The quality of political representation 7% 60%   2% 5% 26% 27% 33% 8%


    * based on people working

    Respondents tended to be pessimistic about all items measured. They were particularly negative about the cost of electricity and gas (74% getting worse), housing affordability (62%) and their general standard of living (49%). Income, job security, work-family balance and overall quality of life were more likely to be staying much the same.

  • Apr, 2017

    Federal voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

      Total   Last week 28/3/17 2 weeks ago 21/3/17 4 weeks ago 7/3/17   Election 2 Jul 16
    Liberal 35%   32% 31% 34%    
    National 2%   3% 3% 3%    
    Total Liberal/National 37%   35% 34% 37%   42.0%
    Labor 36%   37% 37% 37%   34.7%
    Greens 10%   10% 9% 9%   10.2%
    Nick Xenophon Team 3%   4% 3% 3%    
    Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 8%   8% 10% 9%    
    Other/Independent 6%   7% 6% 5%   13.1%
    2 party preferred              
    Liberal National 47%   46% 45% 47%   50.4%
    Labor 53%   54% 55% 53%   49.6%
    1. Sample = 1,797. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.
  • Apr, 2017

    Racial Discrimination Act

    Q. The Racial Discrimination Act makes it an offence to “intimidate, humiliate, offend or insult” someone because of their race or ethnicity. It has been proposed to replace the words “humiliate, offend or insult” with “harass”. This means it will be unlawful to “harass or intimidate” someone because of their race or ethnicity but not unlawful to “humiliate, offend or insult”. Which of the following statements is closest to your view?

      Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
    I strongly support this change to the Racial Discrimination Act 28%   27% 35% 24% 32%
    I strongly oppose this change to the Racial Discrimination Act 27%   31% 20% 55% 25%
    I don’t have strong opinion on whether the Racial Discrimination Act should be changed or not 28%   27% 31% 13% 30%
    Not sure 17%   15% 13% 8% 13%

     

    55% say they have a strong opinion on changes to the Racial Discrimination Act. 28% strongly support the changes and 27% strongly oppose the changes. 28% don’t have strong opinion either way and 17% are not sure.

    Those most likely to strongly support changes are Liberal/National voters (35%) and aged 65+ (37%).

    Those most likely to strongly oppose changes are Greens voters (55%) and university educated (34%)

  • Apr, 2017

    Carbon emissions trading scheme

    Q. Do you support or oppose introducing a carbon emissions trading scheme in the electricity sector to provide more incentive for investing in renewable energy and low-carbon electricity?

      Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
    Total support 51%   61% 46% 85% 41%
    Total oppose 20%   13% 27% 4% 38%
    Strongly support 21%   27% 14% 64% 12%
    Support 30%   34% 32% 21% 29%
    Oppose 12%   9% 18% 3% 16%
    Strongly oppose 8%   4% 9% 1% 22%
    Don’t know 29%   27% 28% 11% 20%

     

    51% support introducing a carbon emissions trading scheme in the electricity sector and 20% oppose.

     

    Those most likely to support a carbon emissions trading scheme were Labor voters (61%), Greens voters (85%) and university educated (59%).

    Those most likely to oppose were Liberal/National voters (27%) and aged 55+ (31%).

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