Federal politics – voting intention

Jul 2, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,846 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

4/6/12

2 weeks ago

18/6/12

Last week

25/6/12

This week

2/7/12

Liberal

47%

46%

46%

45%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

50%

49%

49%

49%

Labor

38.0%

33%

33%

33%

32%

Greens

11.8%

10%

10%

10%

10%

Other/Independent

6.6%

7%

8%

8%

9%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

56%

56%

56%

56%

Labor

50.1%

44%

44%

44%

44%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. + or – 2%.

Asylum Seeker Policies

Jul 2, 2012

Q. Thinking about handling the issue of asylum seekers arriving in Australia by boat, which approach do you favour?

 

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

The Labor policy of offshore processing in Malaysia

18%

44%

3%

17%

The Liberal policy of offshore processing in Nauru

35%

8%

68%

2%

The Greens policy of onshore processing in Australia

14%

15%

6%

57%

None of above

16%

14%

12%

14%

Don’t know

17%

18%

11%

9%

The Liberal’s policy of offshore processing asylum seekers in Nauru was the most preferred option (35%). 18% favoured the Labor policy of offshore processing in Malaysia and 14% favoured the Greens’ policy of onshore processing in Australia.

A majority of Liberal/National voters and Greens voters favoured their own party’s policy but only 44% of Labor voters favoured the Labor policy.

The Liberal’s policy was favoured by 41% of men and 47% of those aged 55+.

Negotiate a Solution for Handling Asylum Seekers

Jul 2, 2012

Q. The Government has offered to negotiate with Tony Abbott and the Liberals to reach a compromise solution for handling asylum seekers. Tony Abbott has refused to negotiate and says the Government should adopt the Liberal policy. Do you think the Government and the Opposition should negotiate a solution or should the Government adopt the Liberal policy?

 

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Should negotiate a solution

57%

86%

34%

85%

Should adopt the Liberal policy

26%

5%

50%

1%

Don’t know

17%

9%

15%

13

57% agreed that the Government and the Opposition should negotiate a solution to handling asylum seekers and 26% think the Government should adopt the Liberal policy.

Those most in favour of adopting the Liberal policy were men (33%), Liberal/National voters (50%) and those aged 65+ (40%).

Reading Newspapers

Jul 2, 2012

Q. How often do you read newspapers (in print, not online)?

 

Total

Aged 18-34

Aged 35-54

Aged 55+

Visit news websites daily

Visit news websites a few times a week

Visit news websites about once a week

Visit news websites less often

Never visit news websites

Daily

24%

15%

25%

34%

34%

20%

19%

14%

19%

A few times a week

23%

24%

25%

18%

22%

31%

14%

24%

14%

About once a week

22%

20%

22%

24%

19%

28%

37%

15%

14%

Less often

22%

30%

19%

16%

19%

15%

24%

39%

17%

Never

9%

11%

9%

8%

6%

6%

6%

7%

35%

24% said they read newspapers daily and 69% read at least once a week.

Older respondents read newspapers more frequently – 34% of those aged 55+ read daily. 28% of those on higher incomes ($1,600+ pw) read daily compared to 18% of those earning under $600 pw.

Those who visit news websites frequently also read newspapers more frequently – 34% of those visiting news websites daily also read newspapers daily.

Visiting News Websites

Jul 2, 2012

Q. And how often do you visit news websites?

 

Total

Aged 18-34

Aged 35-54

Aged 55+

Read news
papers daily

Read news
papers a few times a week

Read news
papers about once a week

Read news
papers less often

Never read news
papers

Daily

39%

39%

39%

38%

54%

38%

34%

33%

26%

A few times a week

23%

25%

25%

18%

19%

31%

29%

16%

15%

About once a week

11%

10%

10%

12%

8%

6%

18%

12%

7%

Less often

18%

18%

17%

20%

11%

19%

13%

32%

15%

Never

10%

8%

9%

12%

8%

6%

6%

8%

37%

39% said they visited news websites daily and 73% visit at least once a week.

Visiting news websites was similar across age groups but a little higher for those on higher incomes – 44% of those earning $1,600+ pw compared to 33% of those earning under $600 pw.

Those who read newspapers frequently also visit news websites more frequently – 54% of those reading newspapers daily also visit news websites daily.

Note that as this is an online survey, all respondents have access to the Internet.

Concern about Cutting Journalists

Jul 2, 2012

Q. Australia’s major newspaper publishers – News and Fairfax – recently announced substantial job cuts, including many journalists. How concerned are you that Australian newspapers are losing so many professional journalists?

 

Total

Vote ALP

Vote Lib

Vote Greens

Aged 18-34

Aged 35-54

Aged 55+

Read daily

Read a few times a week

Read about once a week

Read less often/

never

Very concerned

20%

26%

19%

23%

15%

21%

26%

34%

24%

14%

12%

Somewhat concerned

28%

28%

29%

34%

28%

29%

27%

34%

34%

24%

22%

A little concerned

29%

28%

29%

22%

31%

29%

26%

21%

25%

37%

32%

Not at all concerned

17%

16%

18%

16%

18%

16%

17%

9%

14%

21%

23%

Don’t know

6%

2%

5%

5%

7%

6%

4%

3%

3%

4%

12%

20% were very concerned and 28% somewhat concerned about job cuts to newspaper journalists.

68% of daily readers of newspapers were very/somewhat concerned.

Those most concerned were aged 55+ (53%) and respondents from Victoria (59%).

Statements about Cutting Journalists

Jul 2, 2012

Q. Which of the following statements is closest to your view?

 

Total

Vote ALP

Vote Lib

Vote Greens

Aged 18-34

Aged 35-54

Aged 55+

Read daily

Read a few times a week

Read about once a week

Read less often/

never

As we lose more and more professional journalists, we are losing the seasoned judgments of skilled and experienced professionals in gathering and assessing information – and that is a bad thing for Australia and Australian democracy.

50%

53%

49%

52%

41%

48%

62%

70%

53%

44%

35%

With the internet, we all have access to a large amount of information and the loss of the professional journalists who work for the major newspapers in Australia really doesn’t matter that much.

31%

26%

34%

34%

37%

30%

25%

20%

28%

39%

36%

Don’t know

20%

21%

17%

14%

22%

22%

13%

10%

19%

17%

29%

Respondents were more likely to agree with the statement that “As we lose more and more professional journalists, we are losing the seasoned judgments of skilled and experienced professionals in gathering and assessing information – and that is a bad thing for Australia and Australian democracy” (50%).

Those most likely to support this statement were aged 55+ (62%), daily newspaper readers (70%) and Victorians (58%).

Concern about Newspapers Closing

Jul 2, 2012

Q. How concerned are you about the possibility that in the next few years, most daily newspapers will stop publishing?

 

Total

Vote ALP

Vote Lib

Vote Greens

Aged 18-34

Aged 35-54

Aged 55+

Read daily

Read a few times/ week

Read about once / week

Read less often/

never

Very concerned

24%

31%

21%

15%

18%

22%

34%

52%

23%

14%

9%

Somewhat concerned

24%

25%

27%

29%

21%

26%

25%

26%

34%

24%

16%

A little concerned

29%

19%

32%

29%

31%

30%

24%

14%

31%

35%

34%

Not at all concerned

19%

20%

16%

27%

23%

17%

16%

7%

11%

25%

29%

Don’t know

5%

5%

3%

1%

8%

4%

2%

1%

*

3%

12

48% were very or somewhat concerned about the possibility of most daily newspapers closing in the next few years and 48% were only a little or not at all concerned. 78% of those who read daily were very/somewhat concerned – and 52% were very concerned.

Those most concerned were women (53% very/somewhat), aged 55+ (59%) and Victorians (59%).