Approval of Julia Gillard

Aug 15, 2011

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister?

19 Jul 20 Sep 20 Dec 17 Jan 2011 14 Feb 14 Mar 11 Apr 9 May 14 June 11 July 15 Aug
Total approve 52% 45% 43% 51% 48% 41% 37% 41% 34% 29% 35%
Total disapprove 30% 37% 40% 36% 41% 46% 50% 48% 54% 62% 55%
Strongly approve 11% 12% 10% 8% 9% 7% 7% 7% 6% 5% 6%
Approve 41% 33% 33% 43% 39% 34% 30% 34% 28% 24% 29%
Disapprove 17% 21% 24% 24% 25% 22% 25% 26% 29% 30% 24%
Strongly disapprove 13% 16% 16% 12% 16% 24% 25% 22% 25% 32% 31%
Don’t know 18% 19% 17% 14% 11% 13% 13% 11% 13% 9% 11%

35% (up 6%) approve of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister and 55% (down 7%) disapprove – a change in net rating from -33 to -20 over the last 4 weeks.

77% of Labor voters approve (up 5%) and 13% disapprove (down 7%).

By gender – men 35% approve/57% disapprove, women 34% approve/52% disapprove.

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Approval of Tony Abbott

Aug 15, 2011

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader?

18 Jan

2010

29 Mar 5 Jul 20 Sep 20 Dec 17 Jan 2011 14 Feb 14 Mar 11 Apr 9 May 14 June 11 July 15 Aug
Total approve 37% 33% 37% 43% 39% 42% 38% 38% 36% 42% 38% 39% 37%
Total disapprove 37% 50% 47% 37% 39% 37% 46% 47% 48% 44% 48% 49% 50%
Strongly approve 5% 8% 8% 12% 9% 7% 8% 7% 7% 8% 6% 6% 8%
Approve 32% 25% 29% 31% 30% 35% 30% 31% 29% 34% 32% 33% 29%
Disapprove 20% 28% 23% 21% 21% 22% 24% 24% 25% 25% 25% 24% 25%
Strongly disapprove 17% 22% 24% 16% 18% 15% 22% 23% 23% 19% 23% 25% 25%
Don’t know 26% 16% 16% 19% 22% 20% 16% 16% 17% 14% 15% 11% 13%

37% (down 2%) approve of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader and 50% (up 1%) disapprove – a change in net rating from -10 to -13 over the last 4 weeks. This is Tony Abbott’s worst approval rating this year.

72% of Coalition voters approve and 20% disapprove.

By gender – men 40% approve/49% disapprove, women 33% approve/51% disapprove.

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Better Prime Minister

Aug 15, 2011

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

5 Jul 2010 17 Jan 2011 14 Feb 14 Mar 11 Apr 9 May 14 June 11 July 15 Aug Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Julia Gillard 53% 47% 48% 44% 42% 43% 41% 37% 38% 82% 7% 73%
Tony Abbott 26% 32% 31% 33% 33% 35% 36% 39% 36% 1% 73% 7%
Don’t know 21% 21% 20% 23% 24% 22% 24% 24% 26% 17% 20% 20%

38% believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 36% prefer Tony Abbott – a net improvement for Julia Gillard of 4% on last month’s figures (from -2% to +2%).

Men prefer Tony Abbott 41%/35% and women favour Julia Gillard 40%/32%.

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The Australian Economy

Aug 15, 2011

Q. Thinking about the state of the world economy, how do you think the Australian economy has performed over the last few years compared to other countries?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total better 70% 77% 70% 85%
Total worse 10% 5% 14% 5%
A lot better 31% 41% 27% 48%
A little better 39% 36% 43% 37%
About the same 16% 17% 15% 8%
A little worse 7% 4% 9% 2%
A lot worse 3% 1% 5% 3%
Don’t know 3% 1% 1% 4%

70% think that Australia’s economy has performed better than other countries over the last few years, 16% say about the same and 10% think it has been worse.

There were no substantial differences across demographic groups although those on higher incomes are a little more likely to believe it has performed better – 76% of those on incomes over $1,600pw compared to 67% of those earning under $1,000pw.

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Government Handling of the Economy

Aug 15, 2011

Q. How do you think the Australia Government has handled our economy over the last few years?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total well 54% 82% 34% 81%
Total poorly 39% 13% 62% 12%
Very well 9% 22% 2% 16%
Quite well 45% 60% 32% 65%
Quite poorly 26% 11% 39% 8%
Very poorly 13% 2% 23% 4%
Don’t know 7% 6% 4% 7%

54% think the Australian Government has handled the economy very well or quite well over the last few years and 39% very poorly or quite poorly. 82% of Labor voters, 81% of Greens voters and 34% of Liberal/National voters think the Government has handled the economy well. 62% of Liberal/National voters think the Government has handled the economy poorly.

60% of those aged under 35 think the Government has handled the economy well, compared to 51% of those aged 35-54 and 51% of those aged 55+

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Likelihood of Another GFC

Aug 15, 2011

Q. How likely do you think it is that there will soon be another Global Financial Crisis (GFC) similar to the one that occurred in 2009?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total likely 47% 39% 53% 41%
Very likely 20% 17% 22% 12%
Fairly likely 27% 22% 31% 29%
About 50/50 39% 40% 40% 36%
Not very likely 8% 12% 5% 15%
Don’t know 7% 9% 2% 9%

47% believe that another GFC is very or quite likely and a further 39% think it is a 50/50 possibility.

There were no significant differences across demographic groups.

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Stimulus Spending

Aug 15, 2011

Q. If there is another Global Financial Crisis, do you think the Australian Government should undertake the same sort of stimulus spending they did in response to the 2009 GFC?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Yes 36% 48% 26% 56%
No 39% 24% 56% 23%
Don’t know 25% 28% 18% 21%

In the event of another GFC, 36% support stimulus spending and 39% oppose. About half of Labor and Greens voters support stimulus spending but over half of Liberal/National voters oppose.

Lower income earners are more likely to support stimulus spending – those earning under $1,000pw split 43% support/32% oppose while those earning over $1,000pw split 34% support/42% oppose.

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Trust to deal with GFC

Aug 15, 2011

Q. If there is another Global Financial Crisis, which party would you trust most to deal with it?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
The Labor Party 31% 75% 4% 61%
The Liberal Party 40% 4% 82% 5%
No difference 20% 13% 11% 27%
Don’t know 9% 8% 4% 8%

If there was another GFC, 40% would trust the Liberal Party more to handle it and 31% would trust the Labor Party more. When a similar question was asked last week, the results were 27% Labor/43% Liberal.

The only demographic groups trusting the Labor Party more were aged 18-24 (Labor 37%/Liberals 29%) and those earning less than $600pw (Labor 41%/Liberals 32%).

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