Approval of Tony Abbott

May 14, 2012

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader?

 

18 Jan

2010

5 Jul

2010

20 Dec 2010

14 Mar

2011

14 June

12 Sept

12 Dec

16 Jan 2012

13 Feb

12 Mar

16 Apr

14 May

Total approve

37%

37%

39%

38%

38%

39%

32%

35%

35%

36%

38%

36%

Total disapprove

37%

47%

39%

47%

48%

50%

53%

51%

53%

52%

50%

53%

Strongly approve

5%

8%

9%

7%

6%

8%

6%

7%

6%

7%

7%

7%

Approve

32%

29%

30%

31%

32%

31%

26%

28%

29%

29%

31%

29%

Disapprove

20%

23%

21%

24%

25%

23%

25%

25%

23%

23%

23%

24%

Strongly disapprove

17%

24%

18%

23%

23%

27%

28%

26%

30%

29%

27%

29%

Don’t know

26%

16%

22%

16%

15%

11%

14%

13%

12%

12%

13%

11%

Tony Abbott’s approval rating has declined a little over the last month. 36% (down 2%) approve of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader and 53% (up 3%) disapprove – a change in net rating from -12 to -17 over the last 4 weeks.

71% (down 1%) of Coalition voters approve and 19% (up 2%) disapprove.

By gender – men 38% approve/53% disapprove, women 33% approve/53% disapprove.

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Better Prime Minister

May 14, 2012

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

 

5 Jul 2010

14 Mar 2011

14 June

12 Sept

12 Dec

16 Jan 2012

13 Feb

12 Mar

16 Apr

14 May

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Julia Gillard

53%

44%

41%

36%

39%

39%

41%

40%

38%

38%

83%

4%

69%

Tony Abbott

26%

33%

36%

40%

35%

36%

34%

37%

36%

37%

3%

79%

5%

Don’t know

21%

23%

24%

24%

26%

25%

25%

23%

25%

24%

15%

17%

27%

38% (no change) believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 37% (up 1%) prefer Tony Abbott – a net change from +2% to +1% for Julia Gillard.

Men prefer Tony Abbott 39%/37% and women prefer Julia Gillard 39%/36%.

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Interest in Federal Budget

May 14, 2012

Q. Thinking about the Federal Budget – how much attention did you pay to this week’s Federal Budget?

 

2009

2010

2011

2012

Total a lot/some

66%

53%

52%

54%

Total a little/none

31%

44%

45%

43%

A lot

29%

18%

19%

20%

Some

37%

35%

33%

34%

A little

25%

29%

31%

31%

None

6%

15%

14%

12%

Can’t say

3%

3%

2%

3%

Just over half (54%) of respondents said they paid a lot or some attention to the Federal Budget. This is much the same as the corresponding figure of 52% for last year’s budget.

Those most interested were Liberal/National voters (61%), Labor voters (59%) and people aged 55+ (64%). Only 42% of respondents aged 18-34 paid a lot or some attention to the budget.

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Impact of Budget

May 14, 2012

Q. Do you think the Federal Budget was good or bad for you personally?

Q. Do you think the Federal Budget was good or bad for average working people?

Q. Do you think the Federal Budget was good or bad for Australian businesses?

Q. Do you think the Federal Budget was good or bad for the Australian economy overall?

 

You personally

Working people

Australian businesses

Economy overall

 

2010

2011

2012

2012

2010

2011

2012

2010

2011

2012

Total good

22%

11%

17%

31%

27%

20%

10%

36%

27%

26%

Total bad

26%

29%

26%

24%

32%

25%

43%

28%

29%

32%

Very good

3%

2%

2%

4%

3%

3%

1%

6%

4%

4%

Good

19%

9%

15%

27%

24%

17%

9%

30%

23%

22%

Neither good nor bad

33%

44%

44%

33%

9%

31%

29%

10%

25%

25%

Bad

18%

21%

17%

19%

22%

19%

28%

18%

21%

21%

Very bad

8%

8%

9%

5%

10%

6%

15%

10%

8%

11%

Don’t know

20%

16%

12%

12%

31%

23%

18%

26%

20%

17%

In terms of the economy overall there was a similar response to the 2012 budget compared to last year’s. 26% (down 1%) thought the economy was good for the economy and 32% (up 3%) thought it was bad.

44% of respondents thought the Federal budget was neither good nor bad for them personally – 17% (up 6%) said it was good and 26% (down 3%) bad. 28% of respondents aged 35-44 thought it was good for them while 38% of those aged 55+ thought it was bad.

31% thought it was good for working people and 24% thought it was bad. 35% of part-time workers thought it was good for working people.

43% (up 18%) thought the budget was bad for business, 10% (down 10%) good and 29% said it was neither.

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Approval of Budget Items

May 14, 2012

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the following parts of the Federal budget?

 

Total approve

Total disapprove

Strongly approve

Approve

Disapprove

Strongly disapprove

Don’t know

Reduced spending on defence

48%

43%

14%

34%

28%

15%

10%

Increased spending on dental health

87%

8%

30%

57%

7%

1%

6%

Bonus payments to low-income families with children at school

60%

33%

16%

44%

20%

13%

7%

Returning the budget to surplus

61%

26%

15%

46%

19%

7%

14%

Tightening eligibility for parenting payments for single mothers

65%

25%

26%

39%

17%

8%

10%

Increasing tax on super contributions for people on high incomes

60%

31%

28%

32%

20%

11%

9%

Respondents were divided on reduced defence spending – 48% approved and 43% disapproved. Support for reduced defence spending was highest among those aged 18-34 (57%).

On all other items measured there was quite strong approval – in particular on increased spending on dental health (87%). Other items received at least 60% support – including 61% approval of returning the budget to surplus. 71% of Labor voters and 58% of Liberal/National voters approved the return to surplus.

Increasing tax on super contributions for people on high incomes was approved by 52% of those on incomes of $1,600+ pw and disapproved by 40%.

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Trust Most to Handle Economy

May 14, 2012

Q. Who would you trust most to handle Australia’s economy – the Treasurer Wayne Swan or the Shadow Treasurer Joe Hockey?

 

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Wayne Swan

34%

77%

6%

51%

Joe Hockey

33%

5%

65%

6%

Don’t know

33%

18%

29%

43%

34% would trust Wayne Swan most to handle the economy and 33% would trust Joe Hockey most. 33% could not give an opinion.

Those aged under 35 trust Wayne Swan more (32%/21%) and those aged 55+ trust Joe Hockey more (47%/31%).

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TRENDS: Who loves a nanny state?

May 7, 2012


Peter Lewis talks us through our love for a nanny state — as long as it doesn’t overstep the mark

The metaphorical nannies are out to control us; to mollycoddle and corrupt us; to intervene and suppress the free spirit in those of us who just want to puff on a ciggie or punt on a pokie or jump off a cliff because the other kids are doing it.

But while collectively we denounce a controlling nanny state, EMC polling shows that most of us actually like a designated grown up. Peter Lewis talks us through the details on 3Q.

http://www.abc.net.au/unleashed/3982400.html

Federal politics – voting intention

May 7, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,909 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

10/4/12

2 weeks ago

23/4/12

Last week

30/4/12

This week

7/5/12

Liberal

47%

45%

46%

47%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

50%

49%

50%

50%

Labor

38.0%

31%

31%

31%

29%

Greens

11.8%

11%

11%

11%

11%

Other/Independent

6.6%

9%

9%

9%

9%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

57%

56%

57%

58%

Labor

50.1%

43%

44%

43%

42%

 

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. + or – 2%.

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