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  • Oct, 2017

    Tony Abbott

    Q. Do you think Tony Abbott should:

      Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Aug 2016 April 2017
    Stay in parliament on the backbench 16%   16% 21% 10% 16%   21% 14%
    Stay in parliament and be given a ministry 14%   11% 17% 7% 16%   25% 18%
    Resign from parliament 42%   48% 39% 64% 37%   37% 43%
    Challenge Malcolm Turnbull for leadership of the Liberal Party 9%   6% 8% 3% 21%   na na
    Don’t know 20%   18% 15% 16% 10%   17% 24%

     

    42% think Tony Abbott should resign from parliament (down 1% from April), while 30% think he should stay in parliament in some capacity (down 2%).

    Liberal/National voters were more likely to think Tony Abbott should stay in parliament (38%) than Labor voters (27%) and Greens voters (17%).

    Since this question was asked in April, the option of “Challenge Malcolm Turnbull for leadership of the Liberal Party” has been added – and attracted 9% support including 8% of Liberal National voters and 21% of other party voters.

  • Oct, 2017

    State voting intention – NSW

    Q. If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

      Election

    Mar 2015

      Oct-Dec 2015 Jan-Mar

    2016

    Apr-Jun 2016 Jul-Sep 2016 Oct-Dec 2016 Jan-Mar 2017 Apr-Jun 2017 Jul-Sep 2017   July August Sept-ember
    Sample 3,205 3,220 3,769 3,867 3,477 3,169 3,757 3,723   1,158 1,423 1,142
    First preference vote    
    Liberal/National 45.6% 48% 47% 44% 44% 43% 43% 42% 43% 43% 43% 43%
    Labor 34.1% 33% 34% 37% 37% 38% 36% 37% 38% 37% 38% 38%
    Greens 10.3% 10% 10% 9% 9% 9% 9% 10% 9% 9% 9% 8%
    Other/Independent 10.0% 10% 10% 10% 10% 11% 12% 11% 10% 11% 10% 10%
     
    2PP  
    Liberal/National 54.3% 56% 56% 52% 52% 51% 52% 51% 51% 52% 51% 51%
    Labor 45.7% 44% 44% 48% 48% 49% 48% 49% 49% 48% 49% 49%

     

  • Oct, 2017

    State voting intention – Queensland

    Q. If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

      Election

    Jan 2015

      Oct-Dec 2015 Jan-Mar

    2016

    Apr-Jun 2016 Jul-Sep 2016 Oct-Dec 2016 Jan-Mar 2017 Apr-Jun 2017 Jul-Sep 2017   July August Sept-ember
    Sample 1,873 1,893 2,251 2,386 2,085 1,963 2,321 2,319   712 884 723
    First preference vote                    
    LNP 41.3% 42% 40% 40% 38% 34% 31% 34% 34% 34% 33% 35%
    Labor 37.5% 39% 40% 37% 37% 36% 35% 36% 35% 34% 37% 35%
    Greens 8.4% 8% 9% 8% 8% 10% 10% 9% 10% 12% 8% 10%
    One Nation 12% 15% 12% 13% 12% 14% 13%
    Katter Party 1.9% 3% 2% 3% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2%
    Other/Independent 10.9% 8% 10% 12% 15% 7% 8% 8% 6% 7% 7% 5%
     
    2PP                
    LNP 48.9% 50% 48% 49% 47% 46% 45% 46% 46% 46% 45% 47%
    Labor 51.1% 50% 52% 51% 53% 54% 55% 54% 54% 54% 55% 53%

     

  • Oct, 2017

    State voting intention – Victoria

    Q. If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

      Election

    Nov 2014

      Oct-Dec 2015 Jan-Mar

    2016

    Apr-Jun 2016 Jul-Sep 2016 Oct-Dec 2016 Jan-Mar 2017 Apr-Jun 2017 Jul-Sep 2017   July August Sept-ember
    Sample 2,402 2,383 2,803 2,880 2,631 2,413 2,838 2,859   882 1,130 847
    First preference vote                    
    Liberal/National 42.0% 40% 41% 41% 40% 41% 40% 41% 42% 44% 42% 39%
    Labor 38.1% 38% 38% 38% 38% 38% 39% 38% 39% 38% 40% 41%
    Greens 11.5% 13% 13% 12% 12% 11% 11% 12% 10% 11% 10% 10%
    Other/Independent 8.4% 9% 8% 9% 10% 9% 10% 9% 9% 7% 8% 10%
     
    2PP                
    Liberal/National 48.0% 47% 47% 47% 47% 47% 47% 47% 48% 49% 48% 46%
    Labor 52.0% 53% 53% 53% 53% 53% 53% 53% 52% 51% 52% 54%

     

  • Oct, 2017

    State voting intention – South Australia

    Q. If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

      Election

    Mar 2014

      Oct-Dec 2015 Jan-Mar

    2016

    Apr-Jun 2016 Jul-Sep 2016 Oct-Dec 2016 Jan-Mar 2017 Apr-Jun 2017 Jul-Sep 2017
    Sample     797 803 912 942 880 779 911 948
    First preference vote                    
    Liberal 44.8%   32% 29% 30% 30% 32% 28% 31% 30%
    Labor 35.8%   39% 37% 34% 38% 35% 35% 36% 37%
    Greens 8.7%   10% 9% 7% 7% 7% 6% 7% 6%
    Nick Xenophon Team       15% 20% 16% 17% 18% 19% 18%
    Other/Independent 10.7%   19% 10% 9% 9% 8% 12% 8% 10%
                         
    2PP                    
    Liberal 53.0%   46% 46% 49% 46% 49% 48% 48% 48%
    Labor 47.0%   54% 54% 51% 54% 51% 52% 52% 52%
  • Oct, 2017

    State voting intention – Western Australia

    Q. If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

      Election

    Mar 2017

      Oct-Dec 2015 Jan-Mar

    2016

    Apr-Jun 2016 Jul-Sep 2016 Oct-Dec 2016 Jan-Mar 2017 Apr-Jun 2017 Jul-Sep 2017
    Sample     946 931 1,105 1,115 1,035 1,023 1,205 1,212
    First preference vote                    
    Liberal 31.2%   37% 40% 37% 34% 34% 32% 33% 32%
    National 5.4%   6% 4% 5% 4% 6% 5% 4% 4%
    Labor 42.2%   35% 34% 39% 39% 36% 37% 44% 39%
    Greens 8.9%   12% 12% 10% 11% 11% 9% 9% 12%
    One Nation 4.9%             11% 5% 8%
    Other/Independent 7.4%   10% 10% 10% 12% 13% 6% 6% 6%
                         
    2PP                    
    Liberal/National na   51% 52% 49% 47% 49% 48% 45% 46%
    Labor na   49% 48% 51% 53% 51% 52% 55% 54%
  • Oct, 2017

    Federal voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

      Total   Last week 3/10/17 2 weeks ago 26/9/17 4 weeks ago 12/9/17   Election 2 Jul 16
    Liberal 33% 33% 33% 33%
    National 3% 3% 4% 3%
    Total Liberal/National 36%   36% 37% 36%   42.0%
    Labor 38%   38% 37% 37%   34.7%
    Greens 10% 10% 10% 10% 10.2%
    Nick Xenophon Team 2% 3% 3% 2%
    Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 7% 7% 7% 9%
    Other/Independent 7% 7% 6% 6% 13.1%
    2 party preferred
    Liberal National 46%   46% 47% 46%   50.4%
    Labor 54%   54% 53% 54%   49.6%

     

    1. Sample = 1,846. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.
  • Oct, 2017

    Malcolm Turnbull

    Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Malcolm Turnbull is doing as Prime Minister?

      Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote Other   Sep 2017 June 2017 Mar 2017 Dec 2016 June 2016 Dec 2015
    Total Approve 42% 29% 74% 26% 27%   41% 36% 33% 34% 38% 56%
    Total Disapprove 43% 58% 19% 58% 62%   46% 45% 50% 46% 40% 23%
    Strongly approve 10% 7% 19% 10% 3% 7% 5% 5% 5% 6% 13%
    Approve 32% 22% 55% 16% 24% 34% 31% 28% 29% 32% 43%
    Disapprove 28% 34% 17% 39% 37% 28% 28% 30% 30% 24% 16%
    Strongly disapprove 15% 24% 2% 19% 25% 18% 17% 20% 16% 16% 7%
    Don’t know 15%   13% 7% 16% 11%   14% 19% 18% 20% 21% 21%

    42% approved of the job Malcolm Turnbull is doing as Prime Minister (up 1% from last month), and 43% disapproved (down 3%) – a change in net approval rating from -5 to -1. This is his best net rating since June last year – and his highest approval figure since March last year.

    74% (down 1%) of Liberal/National voters approved of the job Malcolm Turnbull is doing, compared to 29% of ALP voters and 26% of Greens voters.

    By gender, men were 45% approve/46% disapprove and women 39% approve/40% disapprove.

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